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Red Wings at Flames
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV FDSNDET, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 4-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Axel Sandin-Pellikka's goal at 4:33 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were DET 29, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. John Gibson stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Devin Cooley stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 A), 3. Patrick Kane (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    P. Kane2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET2728014429
CGYCGY08017312337

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(15)
    P. Kane (15), A. Copp (11)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:02
  2. DET
    A. Sandin-Pellikka(3)
    A. DeBrincat (18), P. Kane (16)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:33

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(16)
    A. Copp (12)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    7:41
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(17)
    L. Raymond (23)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-0
    9:09

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Farabee(8)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    8:02
  2. CGY
    M. Coronato(10)
    N. Kadri (21)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:07
  3. CGY
    M. Weegar(2)
    R. Andersson (15), N. Kadri (22)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:40

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:11DETJohn Gibson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 18:11CGYAdam Klapka · Slashingdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 18:11CGYRyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 18:11DETTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

2nd

  • 2:24DETMarco Kasper · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 3:51CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 4:27DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 9:35DETAndrew Copp · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

3rd

  • 6:33CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 8:02DETAxel Sandin-Pellikka · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Joel Farabee0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDET goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Axel Sandin-Pellikka, 1st 4:33 — DET 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.26C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.22J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.15M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.14M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.13M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.08A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02H. Brzustewicz · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCGY
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.9
3.14 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET53%47%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
15
26
Blocked shots
5
18
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000030.07250—28:23
8B. ChiarotD000+100.00230—24:25
23L. RaymondL011+110.11100—18:40
71D. LarkinC101030.490125917:54
20A. JohanssonD000000.00210—17:33
52T. HamonicD000000.00322—17:05
58E. FinnieC000+140.401103316:51
18A. CoppC022+310.060025016:44
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD101+220.16000—16:28
37J. CompherL000-100.031104715:16
93A. DeBrincatR213+340.98130—14:56
77S. EdvinssonD000+110.03320—14:37
88P. KaneR022+310.05010—14:23
27M. RasmussenC000-210.05020014:18
92M. KasperC000010.033425012:28
29N. DanielsonC000010.181006711:48
21J. van RiemsdykL000-210.15000—11:44
85E. SoderblomL000050.35000—10:27
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)37343.9192.88-0.1260:00

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).