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Penguins at Mammoth
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV Utah16, SN-PIT·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3. The Penguins came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 8:03 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were PIT 23, UTA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Guenther (2 G), 3. Erik Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Mantha1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0825210423
UTAUTA21206111329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(32)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:06
  2. UTA
    D. Guenther(33)PPG
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.40win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:37

2nd period

  1. PIT
    A. Mantha(25)PPG
    E. Karlsson (39), E. Chinakhov (12)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:48
  2. PIT
    T. Novak(15)
    P. Wotherspoon (18), A. Mantha (26)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:26

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(24)PPG
    R. Rakell (18), E. Chinakhov (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:24
  2. UTA
    I. Cole(3)
    A. Kerfoot (2), K. Stenlund (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:17
  3. PIT
    N. Acciari(8)
    P. Wotherspoon (19), E. Karlsson (40)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +30 ptsVideo
    4-3
    8:03

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·UTA 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:54PITAnthony Mantha · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 16:44UTAClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min

2nd

  • 4:05PITIlya Solovyov · Slashingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 5:17UTABarrett Hayton · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 9:22UTAJJ Peterka · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 13:39UTALawson Crouse · High stickingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min
  • 14:12UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Interferencedrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 19:44UTAIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

3rd

  • 11:19PITConnor Dewar · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalPIT goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Noel Acciari, 3rd 8:03 — PIT 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.40D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.19L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.19K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.18N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.17N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.17N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.16D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.14M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.12B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.12B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.11D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.11I. Cole · Goal · xG 0.10J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.10M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.10J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.06L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 3.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsUTA
2.54 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.92 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT29%71%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsUTA
23
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/6
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
21
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
8
19
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD022+210.12000—26:50
28P. WotherspoonD022+200.00320—21:35
58K. LetangD000-120.05110—20:37
17B. RustR101-120.280103319:17
67R. RakellR011-120.122005018:57
5R. SheaD000-100.03020—18:37
55N. AcciariC101+110.233005017:24
39A. ManthaR112050.56002—17:09
59E. ChinakhovR022-130.22000—16:44
46B. LizotteC000010.022206315:48
19C. DewarC000000.00122014:58
18T. NovakC101+130.500004213:31
81B. KindelC000000.000102513:30
25E. SoderblomL000010.04100—13:12
75C. CliftonD000-110.00440—12:50
41V. KoivunenR000+110.33110—12:28
7I. SolovyovD000-100.00112—11:06
85A. HayesR000000.00210—10:44
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)29263.8973.94+0.9460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).