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Red Wings at Stars
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Dallas Stars
▸3
Final/OTTV FDSNDET, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Thomas Harley scoring at 2:06. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Thomas Harley's goal at 2:06 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were DET 24, DAL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. John Gibson stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Jake Oettinger stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Bunting (1 G), 2. Wyatt Johnston (1 G, 1 A), 3. Thomas Harley (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Bunting1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Harley1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET040421402224
DALDAL19180611324

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(36)
    M. Bourque (18), N. Lundkvist (6)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:57

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Bunting(14)PPG
    J. Hryckowian (13), J. Robertson (43)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:19

3rd period

  1. DET
    S. Edvinsson(9)
    M. Seider (38), J. van Riemsdyk (13)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:51
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(21)
    E. Finnie (14), A. DeBrincat (33)
    batxG 0.57win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:34

Overtime

  1. DAL
    T. Harley(6)
    W. Johnston (37)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:06

Penalties

DET 12 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:34DETDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 3:34DALMiro Heiskanen · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 10:33DETDominik Shine · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

2nd

  • 0:25DETMoritz Seider · Hookingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 2:30DALNathan Bastian · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 10:48DETJ.T. Compher · Slashingdrawn by Nils Lundkvist2 min
  • 12:31DETLucas Raymond · Hookingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

3rd

  • 0:33DALEsa Lindell · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 3:35DETJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 3:35DALJason Robertson · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 7:44DALTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalDET goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Thomas Harley, OT 2:06 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.25O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.22J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.14W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.12T. Harley · Goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.10M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.08W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.07W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.07T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.05W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.05T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.05W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.05T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.02W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsDAL
3.12 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET56%44%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
24
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011060.23102—27:44
72J. FaulkD000+100.03022—22:14
37J. CompherL000010.080126722:03
93A. DeBrincatR011+120.47120—21:40
77S. EdvinssonD101-130.25110—21:24
88P. KaneR000-120.44100—20:28
8B. ChiarotD000010.01320—20:23
23L. RaymondL101+130.80102—19:37
58E. FinnieC011+110.113205017:05
92M. KasperC000-120.322105015:34
57D. PerronL000-110.23202—13:46
20A. JohanssonD000+100.00100—12:36
21J. van RiemsdykL011+100.00100—12:20
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.03030—11:43
22M. AppletonC000000.01010010:10
43J. LeonardL000020.06210—09:10
65D. ShineR000000.00012—08:33
15S. DriesC000000.091002907:54
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)24213.8752.66-0.3462:06

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).