Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Robert Thomas scoring at 4:51. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 4:51 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 38, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Joel Hofer stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G), 2. Joel Hofer (36 saves, .947), 3. Cam Fowler (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
1-015:41
3rd period
2-09:56
2-112:22
2-216:14
Overtime
2-34:51
Penalties
2nd
- 4:46
Justin Holl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 17:34
Logan Mailloux · Trippingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
3rd
- 4:18
Logan Mailloux · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 7:08
Zach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Robert Thomas, OT 4:51 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.22 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 3.32 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.10 – 2.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 22
- Hits
- 18
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 14
- Giveaways
- 18
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















