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Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Robert Thomas scoring at 4:51. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 4:51 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 38, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Joel Hofer stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G), 2. Joel Hofer (36 saves, .947), 3. Cam Fowler (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Fowler1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM0711111604238
STLSTL060521113325

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:41

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:56
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:22
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:14

Overtime

  1. STL
    C. Fowler (23), J. Kyrou (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:51

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·STL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:46STLJustin Holl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:34STLLogan Mailloux · Trippingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min

3rd

  • 4:18STLLogan Mailloux · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 7:08EDMZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalEDM goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, OT 4:51 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.21R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.19C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.14D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.14D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.13J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.13D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.12P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.12A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.11J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05J. Finley · Missed · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.04O. Stenberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.03T. Lindstein · Missed · xG 0.03J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSTL
4.22 G
All situations
3 G2.9
3.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM69%31%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.10 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSTL
38
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000+130.22000—27:35
97C. McDavidC101040.70000026:28
18Z. HymanL000+120.76102—24:11
25D. NurseD000-230.03110—21:14
29L. DraisaitlC011+130.700005921:06
14M. EkholmD000040.16030—20:47
5C. MurphyD000010.02150—18:49
28J. RoslovicC000-220.2600010018:19
22M. SavoieC011+150.290002517:33
96J. WalmanD000+140.11010—16:52
92V. PodkolzinR011+120.6541010015:38
42K. KapanenR101010.12100—15:23
24S. StastneyD000-100.00000—15:21
16J. DickinsonC000-200.004207513:28
19A. HenriqueC000-100.000004310:52
81J. SamanskiC000-100.06300009:55
46M. JonesL000020.07300—09:46
10T. FredericC000020.01400009:16
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(O)25223.8802.91-0.0964:51

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).