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Oilers at Blues
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV FDSNMW, SNW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Blues came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 18:37 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.3, STL 2.4; shots on goal were EDM 26, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pius Suter (1 G), 3. Dalibor Dvorsky (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Suter1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Dvorsky1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1811107226
STLSTL092914322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Roslovic(3)PPG
    C. McDavid (15), R. Nugent-Hopkins (9)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:38

2nd period

  1. EDM
    A. Mangiapane(4)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (10), C. McDavid (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:27
  2. STL
    D. Dvorsky(1)PPG
    J. Faulk (4), R. Thomas (6)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:08
  3. STL
    R. Thomas(2)
    P. Broberg (4), J. Snuggerud (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:38

3rd period

  1. STL
    P. Suter(5)
    C. Parayko (6), B. Schenn (4)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +45 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:37

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:30STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Matt Savoie2 min

2nd

  • 3:22EDMIsaac Howard · Hookingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 15:54EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalEDM goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 3rd 18:37 — STL 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.32J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.15D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.14R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.14R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.14P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.12J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.12P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.11D. Dvorsky · Goal · xG 0.10D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.05D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSTL
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM48%52%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
22
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC022000.160026021:30
27B. KulakD000-110.07000—21:22
25D. NurseD000+130.14420—20:54
14M. EkholmD000-130.02010—20:42
2E. BouchardD000-130.10010—19:31
29L. DraisaitlC000-100.140103519:26
96J. WalmanD000+110.08020—19:19
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC022+100.0801010019:17
49T. EmbersonD000-100.00210—18:14
28J. RoslovicC101-220.3200010017:52
88A. MangiapaneL101+130.32110—16:22
92V. PodkolzinR000-230.33000—16:11
19A. HenriqueC000010.140108215:50
10T. FredericC000020.06600015:45
22M. SavoieC000020.15010013:27
48N. PhilpC000010.072007508:49
20C. LazarC000010.09200007:57
53I. HowardL000000.00002—07:00
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(L)22193.8642.36-0.6458:18

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).