Skip to content
Ducks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
4
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-4. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 0:36 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.8 to 3.7; shots on goal were ANA 40, TOR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.9 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Knies (1 G, 3 A), 2. Matias Maccelli (1 G, 2 A), 3. Bo Groulx (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Maccelli1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    B. Groulx1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA22016114440
TORTOR18210310628

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Maccelli(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:19
  2. ANA
    C. Gauthier(33)
    C. Kreider (19), J. LaCombe (38)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:19
  3. ANA
    I. Moore(4)
    J. Harkins (5)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:26

2nd period

  1. ANA
    P. Mintyukov(8)
    R. Poehling (20), J. Viel (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:55
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(27)PPG
    M. Knies (36), W. Nylander (39)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:47
  3. TOR
    J. Tavares(23)PPG
    M. Maccelli (17), M. Knies (37)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:26

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(23)PPG
    M. Knies (38), M. Maccelli (18)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:36
  2. TOR
    B. Groulx(1)SHG
    B. Carlo (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-5
    8:35
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(17)EN
    J. McCabe (17), J. Tavares (31)
    wristxG 0.51Video
    3-6
    18:12
  4. ANA
    A. Killorn(10)
    J. Viel (3), J. Trouba (22)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    4-6
    19:34

Penalties

ANA 41 PIM·TOR 46 PIM

1st

  • 0:01ANAJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 0:01TORMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 10:11TORMax Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 14:45TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 14:45TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 14:45ANAJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 18:31ANAChris Kreider · Cross checkingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

2nd

  • 6:57TORPhilippe Myers · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 9:52ANAJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 15:47ANARadko Gudas · Kneeingdrawn by Auston Matthews5 min
  • 15:47ANARadko Gudas · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 1:14ANAChris Kreider · Cross checkingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 8:10TORMax Domi · Interferencedrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 8:10TORMax Domi · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:19TORMorgan Rielly · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 11:19ANAJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 13:36TOREaston Cowan · Instigatordrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 13:36TOREaston Cowan · Fightingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe5 min
  • 13:36ANAJackson LaCombe · Fightingdrawn by Easton Cowan5 min
  • 13:36TOREaston Cowan · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 15:35ANABeckett Sennecke · Holdingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 20:00TORJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 20:00ANAJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 20:00ANAJeffrey Viel · Slashingdrawn by Joseph Woll2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalANA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 3rd 0:36 — TOR 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.51J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.22M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.21N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.19J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.18O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.17W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.15J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.14E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.12M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.09B. Groulx · Goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.04M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01B. Groulx · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.00W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.00B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR6 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsTOR
4.84 G
All situations
5 G3.7
3.14 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.70 G
Power play
3 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA73%27%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.64 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsTOR
40
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/5
Power play
3/7
41
Penalty minutes
46
15
Hits
34
9
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
21
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011-100.00205—25:05
65J. TroubaD011060.26124—23:43
98P. MintyukovD101+250.37030—21:48
45B. SenneckeR000-150.91002—20:27
64M. GranlundC000-140.400205020:17
91L. CarlssonC000-140.380006719:51
61C. GauthierL101-121.101102519:24
20C. KreiderL011-110.46104—18:35
17A. KillornL101+230.32000—16:55
14D. HellesonD000+200.06000—15:12
25R. PoehlingC011+210.110004414:52
51O. ZellwegerD000010.03100—13:50
23M. McTavishC000020.112103312:15
42T. WasheC000010.000004010:55
3I. MooreD101040.19000—10:18
7R. GudasD000010.042015—10:09
28J. VielL022+200.063011—08:32
24J. HarkinsC011000.00200006:45
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)27225.8153.11-1.8957:12

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).