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Calgary Flames at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, SNW·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Calgary Flames 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Sheary's goal at 10:28 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 21, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.8 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (3 G), 2. Jonathan Quick (21 saves, 1.000), 3. Gabe Perreault (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Quick21 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    G. Perreault2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY090903021
NYRNYR1921218429

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad (33), A. Fox (27)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:27

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:28
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.16win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    16:31

3rd period

  1. NYR
    0-4
    17:42

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:43CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 16:12CGYDustin Wolf · Delaying game2 min
  • 16:28CGYOlli Maatta · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 13:24NYRGabe Perreault · Holdingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

3rd

  • 3:38NYRJuuso Parssinen · Hookingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCGY goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Conor Sheary, 2nd 10:28 — NYR 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Edstrom · Missed · xG 0.25V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.20A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.19A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.15A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.14G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.12A. Edstrom · Missed · xG 0.12A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.11G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.10W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.09M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.08G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.07M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.06M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.00J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNYR
2.20 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY32%68%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
16
21
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3O. MaattaD000-120.19012—21:46
7K. BahlD000020.04200—21:44
19Z. ParekhD000-210.17110—18:06
44J. HanleyD000-210.00010—17:49
22R. StromeC000-220.350004517:34
94B. PachalD000010.03310—17:28
27M. CoronatoR000060.711005017:26
37Y. KuznetsovD000-100.00020—17:01
16M. FrostC000010.051006116:33
17Y. SharangovichC000000.26120016:31
20B. ColemanL000010.12100—16:16
47C. ZaryC000-200.00110016:09
11M. BacklundC000010.030024516:04
86J. FarabeeL000-100.00000—15:16
92M. GridinR000-110.10100—13:53
95V. OlofssonL000-100.02100—13:50
43A. KlapkaR000-120.0990010011:26
76M. PospisilC000-100.033005009:53
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)29254.8623.22-0.7860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).