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New York Rangers at Calgary Flames

FinalTV MSGSN, TVAS·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New York Rangers 5-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 12:28 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 31, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.5 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Coleman (2 G), 2. Dustin Wolf (30 saves, .968), 3. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    B. Coleman2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Wolf30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR15013013131
CGYCGY21211127530

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:42
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:21
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:31

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:28

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    6:42
  2. CGY
    snapxG 0.01Video
    1-5
    14:27

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:16NYRMatthew Robertson · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 7:39NYRMika Zibanejad · Holding the stickdrawn by Zayne Parekh2 min
  • 17:28NYRJ.T. Miller · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

3rd

  • 6:00CGYConnor Zary · Holdingdrawn by Noah Laba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNYR goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 2nd 12:28 — CGY 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.19B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.19M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.18Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.16B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.13M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.10S. Honzek · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.05C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.04A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCGY
2.81 G
All situations
5 G2.5
2.51 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR56%44%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
18
21
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD011030.08050—24:04
23A. FoxD000-120.02010—22:09
17W. BorgenD000040.06030—20:45
8J. MillerC000-110.265026320:43
10A. PanarinL000-270.48010—20:03
4B. SchneiderD000-300.04300—19:00
93M. ZibanejadC000-430.671026718:54
24C. SoucyD000-300.00110—18:01
14T. RaddyshR000020.37000—16:09
13A. LafrenièreL000-320.22110—16:04
43C. ShearyL000-120.2101010016:01
29M. RobertsonD000000.01332—14:32
42N. LabaC101020.332104314:19
50W. CuylleL011-100.00610—13:24
78B. OthmannL000-110.05200—12:31
39S. CarrickC000010.002005010:11
71J. ParssinenC000010.01020008:35
84A. EdstromC000000.00210008:35
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)30255.8332.51-2.4960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).