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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
FinalTV SN, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 14:33 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 12% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 5.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were TOR 18, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Evans (1 G), 2. Oliver Kapanen (1 G), 3. Jakub Dobes (17 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Evans1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    O. Kapanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Dobes17 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0511102118
MTLMTL2180619333

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    O. Kapanen(20)
    A. Newhook (9), I. Demidov (36)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:46
  2. MTL
    P. Danault(5)
    K. Guhle (5), L. Hutson (54)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:41

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(22)
    E. Cowan (12)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:33

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Evans(10)EN
    M. Matheson (27)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:32

Penalties

TOR 11 PIM·MTL 11 PIM

1st

  • 19:35TORJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 19:35MTLBrendan Gallagher · Interferencedrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 19:35TORJake McCabe · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher5 min
  • 19:35MTLBrendan Gallagher · Fightingdrawn by Jake McCabe5 min

2nd

  • 2:35MTLArber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Jacob Quillan2 min
  • 11:55MTLLane Hutson · Holdingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min

3rd

  • 11:17TORMatthew Knies · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 13:26TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 2nd 14:33 — TOR 12% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.93J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.43L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.31L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.20J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.19O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.19J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.19J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.18P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.17O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.16K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.10C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.08M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.08O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.07I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.06I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.04A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 5.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
1.91 G
All situations
2 G5.3
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR18%82%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
18
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
11
23
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-100.05132—24:02
34A. MatthewsC000020.373106522:28
91J. TavaresC000-320.300006220:14
88W. NylanderR101-230.25000—20:03
44M. RiellyD000-100.00110—19:10
23M. KniesL000-100.00102—19:04
22J. McCabeD000010.14217—19:03
25B. CarloD000-120.04220—19:00
53E. CowanR011010.04010—18:21
2S. BenoitD000010.03100—16:28
28T. StecherD000010.01040—16:21
11M. DomiC000000.0020010014:37
29B. GroulxC000020.186003814:13
63M. MaccelliL000-210.23000—13:46
89N. RobertsonL000000.11000—12:47
18S. LorentzC000000.00010010:38
81D. JoshuaC000010.12110008:56
26J. QuillanC000010.023001308:25
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)32302.9383.90+1.9057:59

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).