Skip to content
Canadiens at Maple Leafs
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV SN1, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Rielly's goal at 9:02 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.6 to 3.3; shots on goal were MTL 31, TOR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (1 G, 2 A), 2. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bobby McMann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    B. McMann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL11111406231
TORTOR1811039527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(1)
    W. Nylander (1), J. Tavares (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:00
  2. MTL
    O. Kapanen(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:39

2nd period

  1. MTL
    Z. Bolduc(1)
    B. Gallagher (1), K. Dach (1)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:30
  2. TOR
    C. Jarnkrok(1)
    M. Rielly (1), S. Lorentz (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:40

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(1)
    M. Knies (1), M. Maccelli (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:02
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(1)EN
    W. Nylander (2)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:28
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(1)EN
    S. Lorentz (2), J. Tavares (2)
    backhandxG 0.91Video
    2-5
    19:45

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:08MTLPatrik Laine · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 12:44TORWilliam Nylander · High stickingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

2nd

  • 13:38TORMatthew Knies · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

3rd

  • 5:06MTLIvan Demidov · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalMTL goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Rielly, 3rd 9:02 — TOR 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.91A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.86M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.21M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.10M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.10S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.08B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.08B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.08N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.06B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.00N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 3.6 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTOR
3.32 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL74%26%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTOR
31
Shots on goal
27
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
35
13
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53N. DobsonD000-110.02010—22:56
8M. MathesonD000010.03100—22:32
48L. HutsonD000-230.16120—21:03
14N. SuzukiC000-320.321104620:42
21K. GuhleD000-100.00220—20:40
13C. CaufieldR000-340.65100—20:23
20J. SlafkovskýL000-360.51210—19:42
45A. CarrierD000-100.00100—17:24
15A. NewhookC000+110.092002215:15
71J. EvansC000010.073005814:19
76Z. BolducR101-130.802005013:34
11B. GallagherR011-110.0421010013:32
93I. DemidovR000-100.14102—13:21
91O. KapanenC101+120.053005013:19
17J. AndersonR000010.10400—12:59
92P. LaineL000-210.0500210012:51
77K. DachC011-120.180302111:47
72A. XhekajD000020.04120—11:08
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)25223.8801.82-1.1858:33

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).