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Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV CHSN, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Miro Heiskanen scoring at 0:22. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miro Heiskanen's goal at 0:22 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 19, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.7 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Miro Heiskanen (1 G), 2. Mavrik Bourque (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Bedard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Bourque1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI26041900319
DALDAL113092811431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:59
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:41
  3. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:40

3rd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:42
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:40
  3. CHI
    snapxG 0.03win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:40

Overtime

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:22

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:01CHINick Lardis · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

2nd

  • 8:36CHIWyatt Kaiser · Interferencedrawn by Justin Hryckowian2 min

3rd

  • 7:49CHILouis Crevier · Trippingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 15:57DALWyatt Johnston · Holdingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Miro Heiskanen, OT 0:22 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.38J. Hryckowian · Goal · xG 0.28W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.20J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.18M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.17M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.16C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.16M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.10M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.10N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.07N. Bastian · Goal · xG 0.07A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL4 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsDAL
1.83 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.33 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI24%76%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsDAL
19
Shots on goal
31
31%
Faceoffs
69%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
10
Hits
27
22
Blocked shots
8
19
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000-100.02030—23:03
6S. RinzelD101020.16020—22:20
44W. KaiserD000+110.00022—20:25
59T. BertuzziL101+320.45000—20:19
98C. BedardC101-130.271001119:33
46L. CrevierD000-110.02422—19:28
91F. NazarC022+130.130304018:48
20R. GreeneC000-310.150003018:34
86T. TeravainenC022+320.1401010018:22
55A. LevshunovD011+100.00010—18:00
95I. MikheyevR000000.00110—17:27
28A. BurakovskyL000-210.12010—15:30
48M. GrzelcykD000000.01020—15:11
8R. DonatoC000+110.211003314:09
26A. MangiapaneL000010.06130—12:11
84L. SlaggertL000010.01110—10:24
76N. LardisL000000.00102—10:08
11O. MooreC011+100.000005001:49
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(O)31274.8713.35-0.6559:56

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).