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Stars at Blackhawks
NHL

Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
3
Chicago Blackhawks
▸4
FinalTV CHSN, Victory+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Dallas Stars 4-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ilya Mikheyev's goal at 9:14 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 25, CHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.3 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Ilya Mikheyev (2 G), 2. Ryan Donato (2 A), 3. Andre Burakovsky (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    I. Mikheyev2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    R. Donato2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Burakovsky2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1601029325
CHICHI1621114421

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    A. Levshunov(2)PPG
    A. Burakovsky (15), R. Donato (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:48
  2. DAL
    M. Rantanen(16)
    S. Steel (8)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:42

2nd period

  1. CHI
    T. Teravainen(8)PPG
    A. Burakovsky (16), T. Bertuzzi (11)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:13
  2. CHI
    I. Mikheyev(7)
    M. Grzelcyk (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:14

3rd period

  1. CHI
    I. Mikheyev(8)
    R. Donato (8), C. Murphy (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:58
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(24)
    M. Rantanen (40), M. Duchene (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:03
  3. DAL
    M. Duchene(3)
    W. Johnston (26), J. Robertson (24)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:42

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:47DALEsa Lindell · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 20:00DALNils Lundkvist · Cross checkingdrawn by Oliver Moore2 min

2nd

  • 9:14DALMiro Heiskanen · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 17:37DALJustin Hryckowian · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 9:46CHILouis Crevier · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDAL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Ilya Mikheyev, 2nd 9:14 — CHI 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.56R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.44I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.43T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.23T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.19T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.15I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.09A. Levshunov · Goal · xG 0.08R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.07C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.06A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.05O. Moore · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05O. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.03R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.03N. Lardis · Missed · xG 0.02R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01
CHI4 G · 3.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCHI
2.63 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL50%50%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCHI
25
Shots on goal
21
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
17
17
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-110.05142—24:46
55T. HarleyD000+210.10230—22:46
53W. JohnstonC011+110.310006721:48
96M. RantanenR112+320.28200—21:23
23E. LindellD000-100.00102—19:54
21J. RobertsonL112+130.43010—19:22
5N. LundkvistD000+110.04022—19:13
95M. DucheneC112+140.201003317:34
24R. HintzC000+230.374107315:52
18S. SteelC011+120.073007515:48
22M. BourqueC000-200.13200015:17
28A. PetrovicD000-120.03200—14:18
49J. HryckowianC000010.14102014:09
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00210—13:30
14J. BennL000020.212003312:40
15C. BlackwellC000010.281205011:26
12R. FaksaC000000.003103309:47
10O. BäckC000010.00210009:24
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)21174.8102.66-1.3455:49

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).