New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 2-1 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 4:20. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 4:20 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYI 34, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (30 saves, .968), 3. Yaroslav Askarov (32 saves, .941).
Three stars
- ★B. Horvat1 G

- ★★I. Sorokin30 saves, .968

- ★★★Y. Askarov32 saves, .941

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-011:37
2nd period
1-10:33
Overtime
2-14:20
Penalties
1st
- 9:16
Matthew Schaefer · Hookingdrawn by Will Smith2 min
2nd
- 3:22
Dmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
3rd
- 2:06
Collin Graf · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
- 16:15
Kiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
- 18:32
Adam Pelech · Holdingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 4:20 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.32 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.1
- 2.22 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.7
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 3.11
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 28
- Hits
- 27
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 15
- Giveaways
- 15
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-0
3@
4Final
2@
1OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















