Skip to content

New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV NBCSCA, MSGSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 2-1 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 4:20. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 4:20 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYI 34, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (30 saves, .968), 3. Yaroslav Askarov (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    Y. Askarov32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI1801001412234
SJSSJS081100904131

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:37

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:33

Overtime

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:20

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:16NYIMatthew Schaefer · Hookingdrawn by Will Smith2 min

2nd

  • 3:22SJSDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

3rd

  • 2:06SJSCollin Graf · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 16:15SJSKiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 18:32NYIAdam Pelech · Holdingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNYI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 4:20 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.35M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.17M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.17W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.12A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.12A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.12D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.12C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.12R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.11W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.10C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.10W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.09C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.08M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.08M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.07W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsSJS
2.32 G
All situations
1 G3.1
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI36%64%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsSJS
34
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
21
15
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD011+130.07012—29:01
13M. BarzalC011030.14210024:23
3A. PelechD000040.12432—23:38
14B. HorvatC101+160.671205623:17
77T. DeAngeloD101+120.07000—22:09
6R. PulockD000-110.02130—21:06
51E. HeinemanL000010.13200—17:50
10B. SchennC000010.141104317:26
92S. HolmstromR000+110.18000—17:04
44J. PageauC000020.112007116:23
64C. RitchieC011020.17100015:56
81O. PalatL000010.02200—14:42
27A. LeeL000020.214005014:39
4C. SoucyD000010.00400—14:38
24S. MayfieldD000010.03010—12:34
53C. CizikasC000020.082006009:52
11A. DuclairL000000.11000—08:52
16M. GatcombC000010.06200008:41
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)31301.9683.13+2.1364:20

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).