San Jose Sharks at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Islanders led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Schaefer's goal at 6:38 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — SJS 3.8, NYI 3.9; shots on goal were SJS 36, NYI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.1 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Schaefer (1 G, 1 A), 2. Collin Graf (1 G, 1 A), 3. Emil Heineman (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Schaefer1 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Graf1 G, 1 A

- ★★★E. Heineman1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-08:29
1-19:26
1-210:30
2-214:16
2-319:28
2nd period
2-46:38
3rd period
3-410:16
Penalties
1st
- 7:55
Mario Ferraro · Interferencedrawn by Anders Lee2 min
- 16:15
Scott Mayfield · Interferencedrawn by Michael Misa2 min
- 18:13
Sam Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
2nd
- 9:24
Jonathan Drouin · Holding the stickdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
- 12:46
Vincent Desharnais · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
3rd
- 10:41
Scott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Will Smith2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Matthew Schaefer, 2nd 6:38 — 70% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.83 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.9
- 3.12 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.5
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.2
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.71 – 2.81
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 2/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 22
- Hits
- 18
- 6
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 21
- Giveaways
- 21
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-0
3@
4this game
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















