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Bruins at Predators
NHL

Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
3
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSO, NESN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Boston Bruins 6-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Haula's goal at 10:18 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were BOS 23, NSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.2 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Matthew Wood (2 G), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 2 A), 3. Steven Stamkos (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Wood2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS091628323
NSHNSH1841714629

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    N. Hague(3)
    O. Wiesblatt (4), F. Svechkov (8)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:53

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Wood(11)SHG
    N. Perbix (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:24
  2. BOS
    M. Geekie(34)PPG
    C. McAvoy (37), E. Lindholm (28)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:30
  3. NSH
    E. Haula(10)
    B. Skjei (17), S. Stamkos (18)
    deflectedxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:18
  4. NSH
    F. Forsberg(28)PPG
    S. Stamkos (19), R. Ufko (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:37
  5. NSH
    M. Wood(12)
    R. Josi (31), F. Forsberg (24)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    14:44

3rd period

  1. BOS
    C. McAvoy(6)
    V. Arvidsson (15), P. Zacha (25)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    6:05
  2. BOS
    V. Arvidsson(17)
    C. Mittelstadt (18), P. Zacha (26)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    15:32
  3. NSH
    L. Evangelista(9)EN
    F. Forsberg (25)
    wristxG 0.66Video
    3-6
    17:33

Penalties

BOS 12 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:59BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 15:58NSHErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 19:18NSHMatthew Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 19:18BOSMark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 19:59NSHErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 3:26NSHNicolas Hague · Trippingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 10:53BOSTanner Jeannot · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min
  • 14:44BOSserved by M. Eyssimont · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 3:33BOSMark Kastelic · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 6:51BOSMarat Khusnutdinov · Slashingdrawn by Zachary L'Heureux2 min
  • 9:55NSHFedor Svechkov · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalBOS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Haula, 2nd 10:18 — NSH 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.66J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.33E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.24M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.21M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.17F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.14F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.13J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kemell · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.11R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.07B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.06Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ufko · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · Goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 3.6 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNSH
2.63 G
All situations
5 G3.6
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.40 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS48%52%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNSH
23
Shots on goal
29
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/4
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000+110.26010—24:30
73C. McAvoyD112020.21020—23:47
91N. ZadorovD000-130.05500—20:04
88D. PastrnakR000-330.25002—18:02
93F. MintenC000020.111105517:17
26A. PeekeD000-100.00310—16:34
43J. HarrisD000-110.09000—16:03
28E. LindholmC011-310.101007615:29
6M. LohreiD000-100.20050—15:18
52S. KuralyC000-200.002007515:03
84T. JeannotL000-210.19202—14:59
11C. MittelstadtC011+110.041005014:30
18P. ZachaC022010.272104414:17
47M. KastelicC000-300.045245014:07
39M. GeekieC101-320.24100013:56
71V. ArvidssonL112+230.26000—12:55
92M. KhusnutdinovC000010.17012012:52
81M. EyssimontC000010.15410009:17
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)28235.8212.76-2.2459:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).