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Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, David Pastrnak scoring at 0:15. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 0:15 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NSH 2.7, BOS 2.6; shots on goal were NSH 30, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jeremy Swayman (28 saves, .933), 3. Juuse Saros (25 saves, .893).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros25 saves, .893

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH0611311100230
BOSBOS181130611328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    M. Lohrei (17), F. Minten (13)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:16

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:48
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(9)PPG
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:25

3rd period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.05win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:17

Overtime

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.49win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:15

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:14NSHBrady Skjei · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 13:27BOSHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min
  • 14:40NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Marat Khusnutdinov2 min

2nd

  • 5:45BOSTanner Jeannot · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 7:12NSHSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Peeke2 min
  • 12:36BOSHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 18:56BOSDavid Pastrnak · Slashingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

3rd

  • 11:48BOSMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 11:48NSHMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNSH goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, OT 0:15 — BOS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.49M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.25V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.20M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.18M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Aspirot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.02F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Aspirot · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.00J. Aspirot · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsBOS
2.72 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH53%47%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsBOS
30
Shots on goal
28
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD101-220.27110—29:59
76B. SkjeiD000-210.02012—25:24
90R. O'ReillyC011-130.290004723:45
9F. ForsbergL000-230.4240210022:19
91S. StamkosC011030.154025019:46
77L. EvangelistaR011+120.33000—19:29
81J. MarchessaultR000040.22100—16:59
36C. SmithR000010.01100—16:57
56E. HaulaL000-110.141204016:54
83A. WilsbyD011+120.10010—16:14
47M. McCarronC000000.071004016:04
58M. BuntingL000050.51102—15:42
48N. PerbixD000020.06010—15:13
37N. BlankenburgD101010.08000—12:41
20J. BarronD000-100.00020—08:05
8A. EnglundD000000.00000—07:43
71M. WoodR000-100.00100—07:04
40F. SvechkovC000-100.02100003:05
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)28253.8932.56-0.4459:37

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).