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Mammoth at Flyers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Philadelphia Flyers
0
FinalTV Utah16, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 8:03 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were UTA 23, PHI 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (2 A), 2. Vitek Vanecek (16 saves, 1.000), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    V. Vanecek16 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0421415323
PHIPHI040705016

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(24)PPG
    D. Guenther (24), S. Durzi (17)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:38
  2. UTA
    C. Keller(19)
    D. Guenther (25), N. Schmaltz (34)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:03

3rd period

  1. UTA
    M. Carcone(12)EN
    K. Stenlund (9), J. Marino (25)
    wristxG 0.92Video
    3-0
    18:12

Penalties

UTA 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:33UTAJohn Marino · Slashingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

2nd

  • 1:30PHINoah Cates · Holding the stickdrawn by Ian Cole2 min

3rd

  • 4:02UTASean Durzi · Holdingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 6:38UTAClayton Keller · High stickingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 7:25PHITrevor Zegras · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalUTA goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, 2nd 8:03 — UTA 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.25N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.16C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.10S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.10D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.08B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06N. Grebenkin · Missed · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.02D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.02D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.01
PHI0 G · 1.5 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsPHI
3.42 G
All situations
0 G1.5
1.51 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA55%45%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 1.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
16
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
29
18
Blocked shots
17
19
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD011+200.08012—22:40
88N. SchmidtD000+220.05030—22:12
28I. ColeD000000.00540—22:06
50S. DurziD011000.08112—21:58
8N. SchmaltzC112+120.140203319:34
57N. DeSimoneD000010.10030—17:45
11D. GuentherR022+100.132005016:30
9C. KellerR101+140.21012—16:16
67L. CrouseL000020.04200—14:25
15A. KerfootC000+100.33200014:21
22J. McBainC000020.095005014:08
92L. CooleyC000000.000006713:55
77J. PeterkaR000030.29000—13:47
27B. HaytonC000020.161001713:25
82K. StenlundC011+110.501108313:17
56K. YamamotoR000020.16210—13:04
26D. SimashevD000000.00000—12:30
53M. CarconeL101+121.09010—12:07
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)161601.0001.52+1.5260:00

Season series

UTA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).