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Flyers at Mammoth
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
4
Utah Mammoth
▸5
Final/OTTV Utah16, NBCSP·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Clayton Keller scoring at 2:01. The Mammoth came back from three goals down. The Flyers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 19:25 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were PHI 29, UTA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.2 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 29 (.862). Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Lawson Crouse (1 G), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    C. Keller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI2142100500429
UTAUTA072102911527

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    C. York(4)
    C. Dvorak (20), T. Sanheim (16)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:30
  2. PHI
    C. Dvorak(11)
    T. Konecny (27), N. Juulsen (7)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:36

2nd period

  1. PHI
    B. Brink(12)PPG
    T. Zegras (26), J. Drysdale (16)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:58
  2. UTA
    J. Peterka(17)
    D. But (4)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:35
  3. UTA
    L. Crouse(13)
    N. Schmaltz (27), C. Keller (34)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:11
  4. PHI
    C. Dvorak(12)PPG
    T. Zegras (27), J. Drysdale (17)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:28

3rd period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(24)PPG
    N. Schmaltz (28), M. Sergachev (26)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:47
  2. UTA
    C. Keller(14)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:25

Overtime

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(15)
    D. Guenther (19)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    2:01

Penalties

PHI 11 PIM·UTA 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:39PHINick Seeler · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 2:18UTABarrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 5:18UTALiam O'Brien · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 20:00UTANick Schmaltz · High stickingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

2nd

  • 9:35UTAserved by B. Tanev · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:00UTAJJ Peterka · Hookingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 14:54PHINick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 19:52UTAIan Cole · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

3rd

  • 11:49PHINoah Juulsen · Roughingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 11:49UTAJack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Noah Juulsen5 min
  • 11:49PHINoah Juulsen · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalPHI goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, 3rd 19:25 — UTA 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.31C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.20C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.19D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.18L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.13M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.12M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.11N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.09L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.08J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.08J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02N. DeSimone · Missed · xG 0.01N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA5 G · 2.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsUTA
4.24 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.42 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
1.92 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI70%30%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.14 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsUTA
29
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/6
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
17
25
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD101-110.21020—26:48
6T. SanheimD011-110.03220—23:37
9J. DrysdaleD022-220.24010—22:36
22C. DvorakC213+160.910007122:15
46T. ZegrasC022+220.24000020:43
11T. KonecnyR011010.46300—19:06
10B. BrinkR101-130.83010—18:51
14S. CouturierC000-230.161007117:50
24N. SeelerD000+100.00224—17:09
27N. CatesL000-110.130002315:29
74O. TippettR000-110.32010—13:46
47N. JuulsenD011+100.02307—12:55
52D. BarkeyC000-110.34010012:49
19G. HathawayR000000.00540—12:19
39M. MichkovR000-170.321003312:11
29N. GrebenkinR000000.04200—11:54
36E. AndraeD000-100.00030—11:18
25L. PedersonC000-100.006107109:29
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(O)27225.8152.84-2.1662:01

Season series

UTA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).