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New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the New York Islanders 5-1. The Islanders scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Beckett Sennecke's goal at 18:40 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.8 to 3.4; shots on goal were NYI 43, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. David Rittich stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ville Husso (42 saves, .977), 2. Cutter Gauthier (2 G), 3. Jacob Trouba (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    V. Husso42 saves, .977
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier2 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Trouba1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI117013013143
ANAANA31204210526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(15)PPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:58
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:56
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:05
  4. ANA
    snapxG 0.31win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:40

3rd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    2:11
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.59Video
    1-5
    15:49

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:00NYIMatthew Schaefer · High stickingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 3:27ANAMason McTavish · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 12:14NYITony DeAngelo · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

2nd

  • 0:15ANAPavel Mintyukov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:48NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 13:31ANACutter Gauthier · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 17:43ANAMason McTavish · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

3rd

  • 7:57NYIMathew Barzal · Interferencedrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNYI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Beckett Sennecke, 1st 18:40 — ANA 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.59F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.41B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.31C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.22B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.17C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.16L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.14R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.14R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.14M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.12B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.12L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.11R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.10T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.10A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.00I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsANA
3.41 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI63%37%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsANA
43
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
13
18
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD000-250.14022—24:13
14B. HorvatC000-150.543106022:33
3A. PelechD000020.03000—22:11
13M. BarzalC000-220.19002020:58
10S. HolmstromR000-240.47000—19:28
77T. DeAngeloD011-150.16142—18:51
81O. PalatL000-220.21210—16:08
64C. RitchieC000-210.070102515:41
24S. MayfieldD000-220.04100—15:16
51E. HeinemanL000-120.13200—15:03
27A. LeeL101-240.63010—15:02
4C. SoucyD000-110.01210—14:48
53C. CizikasC000020.221222914:33
44J. PageauC000-110.040106914:18
34A. BoqvistD000-110.06100—13:40
29J. DrouinL011-130.201105713:25
16M. GatcombC000000.03400011:11
32K. MacLeanC000010.191105010:33
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)25214.8402.56-1.4455:26

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).