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Ducks at Islanders
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV Victory+, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 6:06 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 80% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were ANA 33, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.9 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (2 G, 2 A), 2. Simon Holmstrom (1 G, 2 A), 3. David Rittich (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    D. Rittich31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA012110111233
NYINYI31301529537

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    T. Mitchell(1)
    S. Holmstrom (6), S. Mayfield (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:18
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(7)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (11), S. Holmstrom (7)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:16
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(8)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (12), M. Barzal (15)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:06

2nd period

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(17)
    T. Terry (24), O. Zellweger (8)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:34

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(9)SHG
    R. Poehling (6), J. LaCombe (14)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:37
  2. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(6)
    A. Lee (11), A. Pelech (3)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:06
  3. NYI
    R. Pulock(1)
    J. Pageau (7), A. Lee (12)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    14:46

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:33ANARyan Strome · High stickingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 17:23ANABeckett Sennecke · Boardingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

2nd

  • 4:46ANAJackson LaCombe · Holdingdrawn by Max Shabanov2 min
  • 5:25NYIAnthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

3rd

  • 1:48ANAChris Kreider · Hookingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalANA goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 3rd 6:06 — NYI 80% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.38A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.33M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.20A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.20S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.19C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.18M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.16E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.16M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.14S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.11C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08T. Mitchell · Goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.07S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.06A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Shabanov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01T. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.01T. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNYI
3.12 G
All situations
5 G3.8
2.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA51%49%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNYI
33
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011030.23122—25:30
65J. TroubaD000+170.13010—25:14
91L. CarlssonC101030.200004722:05
19T. TerryR112+120.58000—21:09
14D. HellesonD000000.00110—18:20
64M. GranlundC000-110.121104317:50
20C. KreiderL000-140.91602—17:03
61C. GauthierL000-120.181004016:26
51O. ZellwegerD011-200.00120—16:16
45B. SenneckeR000-120.03002—16:03
7R. GudasD000-110.01020—15:32
98P. MintyukovD000020.19030—15:22
25R. PoehlingC011000.070005415:06
23M. McTavishC000-130.131104714:55
77F. VatranoR000020.31100—12:18
17A. KillornL000000.02000—10:47
16R. StromeC000000.000023808:06
44R. JohnstonL000-110.03200—08:02
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33V. Husso(L)37325.8653.09-1.9156:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).