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Hurricanes at Canucks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Vancouver Canucks
4
FinalTV FDSNSO, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Hurricanes led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 11:53 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 33, VAN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.2 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (3 G), 2. Filip Hronek (1 G, 2 A), 3. Seth Jarvis (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers3 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    F. Hronek1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11541018633
VANVAN271718422

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(22)PPG
    S. Jarvis (21), S. Gostisbehere (32)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:17
  2. VAN
    M. Rossi(6)PPG
    E. Pettersson (23), J. DeBrusk (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:31
  3. VAN
    F. Hronek(6)
    D. O'Connor (9), L. Karlsson (14)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:15

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Walker(5)
    T. Hall (19), J. Blake (20)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:30
  2. CAR
    N. Ehlers(17)
    J. Staal (12), J. Chatfield (14)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:19
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(23)
    S. Jarvis (22), K. Miller (21)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:53
  4. CAR
    N. Ehlers(18)
    S. Walker (13)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-2
    12:50
  5. VAN
    B. Boeser(13)PPG
    M. Rossi (11), F. Hronek (28)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +8 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:17

3rd period

  1. VAN
    N. Hoglander(1)
    E. Pettersson (24), F. Hronek (29)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    5-4
    6:45
  2. CAR
    N. Ehlers(19)EN
    S. Aho (38), A. Svechnikov (31)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-4
    19:46

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:27VANDavid Kampf · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 16:03CARAlexander Nikishin · Interferencedrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 5:14CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 9:03VANElias Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 18:51CARJackson Blake · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 18:51CARSean Walker · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 18:51VANElias Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 18:55CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

3rd

  • 17:47VANTeddy Blueger · Boardingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCAR goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 11:53 — CAR 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.29M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.14D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.13M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.13N. Hoglander · Goal · xG 0.12C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.11B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06F. Hronek · Goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsVAN
3.75 G
All situations
4 G1.8
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR69%31%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsVAN
33
Shots on goal
22
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
30
11
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD011+210.02100—23:04
74J. SlavinD000+130.03020—22:33
26S. WalkerD112+120.18132—20:19
5J. ChatfieldD011010.04112—19:43
24S. JarvisR022020.1800010019:21
20S. AhoC112030.400125019:15
37A. SvechnikovR112020.30400—18:07
11J. StaalC011+120.112005616:53
27N. EhlersL303+231.09000—16:06
21A. NikishinD000000.01002—15:46
48J. MartinookL000+230.16000—15:06
53J. BlakeR011030.25002—14:36
22L. StankovenC000030.410105814:20
4S. GostisbehereD011020.12020—14:13
71T. HallL011020.22000—13:48
50E. RobinsonL000010.09010—11:09
82J. KotkaniemiC000+100.001004410:29
28W. CarrierL000000.06300—10:18
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)22184.8181.77-2.2360:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).