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Canucks at Hurricanes
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, SN·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 4:29. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Canucks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 4:29 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 1.2; shots on goal were VAN 17, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 34 of 38 (.895); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN24180401317
CARCAR280181814438

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    M. Sasson(4)
    M. MacEachern (2), L. Karlsson (4)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:45
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(5)
    S. Aho (11), S. Jarvis (6)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:20
  3. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(6)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (8), N. Ehlers (8)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:14
  4. VAN
    E. Pettersson(4)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:14

2nd period

  1. VAN
    C. Garland(5)PPG
    B. Boeser (5), E. Pettersson (11)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:13

3rd period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(4)
    S. Gostisbehere (9), A. Svechnikov (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:26

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(7)
    S. Gostisbehere (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:29

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:09VANMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 7:43VANEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

2nd

  • 2:43CARSean Walker · Slashingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min
  • 7:14CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalVAN goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 4:29 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.18S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.18J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.18L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.17S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.16J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.12J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.10W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.9 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCAR
1.23 G
All situations
4 G3.9
0.81 G
Even strength
3 G3.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN11%89%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.22 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCAR
17
Shots on goal
38
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
21
29
Blocked shots
4
17
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29M. PetterssonD000+100.00142—30:23
17F. HronekD000000.00340—24:26
57T. MyersD000-120.03250—22:04
25E. PetterssonD000010.01120—21:05
74J. DeBruskL000-110.07010—20:55
40E. PetterssonC112-110.202306420:04
91E. KaneL000-140.18302—19:17
8C. GarlandR101-210.11110—19:03
6B. BoeserR011-110.01120—18:49
44K. SherwoodL000-100.05720—18:00
54A. RätyC000+120.181104417:09
5T. WillanderD000+110.11010—16:21
18D. O'ConnorL000000.0031010014:40
73L. ReichelL000000.000104312:18
63M. SassonC101010.140004512:07
20M. MacEachernL011+100.00010—09:43
94L. KarlssonC011+120.12000007:36
7P. JosephD000-100.00000—07:22
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(O)38344.8953.92-0.0864:29

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).