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Senators at Oilers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers

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Ottawa Senators
4
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Final/OTTV SNW, TSN5·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 5-4 in overtime, Evan Bouchard scoring at 1:50. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 1:50 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 21, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 0.6 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 3 A), 2. Tim Stützle (2 A), 3. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT282100300421
EDMEDM2100152913537

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    D. Cozens(21)
    N. Cousins (9), T. Chabot (19)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:34
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(32)
    M. Ekholm (26), M. Savoie (15)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:03
  3. OTT
    D. Batherson(22)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (25), T. Stützle (36)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:34
  4. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(33)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:48

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(23)
    T. Stützle (37)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:30
  2. OTT
    M. Amadio(9)
    N. Jensen (12)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:11

3rd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(15)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (55), C. McDavid (69)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:52
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(25)
    L. Draisaitl (56), E. Bouchard (53)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +46 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:35

Overtime

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(18)PPG
    C. McDavid (70), L. Draisaitl (57)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    1:50

Penalties

OTT 11 PIM·EDM 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:39EDMEvan Bouchard · High stickingdrawn by Stephen Halliday2 min
  • 8:00EDMVasily Podkolzin · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 8:00OTTRidly Greig · Fightingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin5 min
  • 8:00EDMVasily Podkolzin · Fightingdrawn by Ridly Greig5 min
  • 10:36EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

2nd

  • 12:17OTTTyler Kleven · Hookingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

3rd

  • 0:38OTTShane Pinto · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

OT

  • 0:55OTTBrady Tkachuk · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalOTT goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, OT 1:50 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.37Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.24L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.18J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.18A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.18C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.15E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.15M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.10V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.07D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02J. Samanski · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 4.4 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsEDM
2.24 G
All situations
5 G4.4
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.31 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT18%82%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 4.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsEDM
21
Shots on goal
37
32%
Faceoffs
68%
1/3
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-130.09000—25:36
72T. ChabotD011+220.08010—23:18
2A. ZubD000-110.04010—22:15
12S. PintoC000-110.062222121:00
3N. JensenD011+210.02100—20:26
22M. AmadioR101+110.12110—19:26
7B. TkachukL011-110.151025019:18
18T. StützleC022-100.490006019:15
19D. BathersonR202-130.39110—17:22
71R. GreigC000010.16215016:47
28C. GirouxR000-110.170004315:49
24D. CozensC101+130.212006714:58
10J. SpenceD000-100.00010—14:19
43T. KlevenD000-100.00202—13:55
21N. CousinsC011+100.00100013:37
20F. ZetterlundL000000.01100—10:32
89L. EllerC000+120.16010007:27
83S. HallidayC000+110.03000006:56
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(O)37325.8654.39-0.6161:50

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).