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Oilers at Senators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
Final/OTTV SNW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Jake Walman scoring at 2:24. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Walman's goal at 2:24 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 25, OTT 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Linus Ullmark stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Walman (1 G), 2. Isaac Howard (1 G), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Walman1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    I. Howard1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Cozens1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM161601013325
OTTOTT060112400221

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(1)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (3), E. Bouchard (1)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:31

2nd period

  1. EDM
    I. Howard(1)
    L. Draisaitl (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:49

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Cozens(4)PPG
    D. Batherson (4), T. Stützle (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:13
  2. OTT
    T. Chabot(1)
    D. Perron (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:49

Overtime

  1. EDM
    J. Walman(1)PPG
    M. Ekholm (2), M. Savoie (1)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:24

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:41EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 15:51OTTTim Stützle · Slashingdrawn by Noah Philp2 min
  • 18:41EDMIsaac Howard · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 16:27OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 19:40EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

OT

  • 0:25OTTTim Stützle · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalEDM goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Walman, OT 2:24 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.28D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.04O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lycksell · Missed · xG 0.04S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.00O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsOTT
2.23 G
All situations
2 G1.6
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM63%37%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 1.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsOTT
25
Shots on goal
21
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
9
18
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC101+130.270004024:09
2E. BouchardD011040.43100—23:13
29L. DraisaitlC011+120.150003323:11
14M. EkholmD011010.09220—21:01
25D. NurseD000020.01364—20:52
27B. KulakD000000.00100—20:50
96J. WalmanD101020.12140—18:51
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011000.071003317:17
49T. EmbersonD000000.00020—15:54
88A. MangiapaneL000020.31100—15:10
92V. PodkolzinR000010.19400—14:45
28J. RoslovicC000010.02110014:23
22M. SavoieC011-120.1001010013:55
19A. HenriqueC000020.140107113:17
48N. PhilpC000-100.002004413:03
10T. FredericC000-110.11100012:04
86D. TomasekR000010.08100—12:01
53I. HowardL101+110.14102—10:42
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)21192.9051.60-0.4062:24

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).