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New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FDSNMW, MSG·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 5:37 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were NJD 33, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (1 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (25 saves, .962), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01121715333
STLSTL0120618126

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:37
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:44

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.30win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:42
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt (30), C. Brown (13)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:55

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:08NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

2nd

  • 0:16STLMatthew Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 17:00NJDTimo Meier · High stickingdrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min
  • 19:13STLJack Finley · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

3rd

  • 2:24NJDJack Hughes · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNJD goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 2nd 5:37 — NJD 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.30D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.13D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.10J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.05A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.04J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.04D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.03D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 1.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsSTL
4.52 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD71%29%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsSTL
33
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD000+100.00120—21:19
7D. HamiltonD101+140.07012—20:28
43L. HughesD011+120.04010—20:10
5B. DillonD000-100.00100—20:03
28T. MeierR101081.42232—19:16
13N. HischierC101+121.010104818:33
91D. MercerC000+110.37110018:26
22B. PesceD011010.16020—18:21
17S. NemecD000020.03000—17:56
63J. BrattL011+120.71200—17:50
16C. BrownR011010.15000—16:40
86J. HughesC011050.250023316:05
12C. GlassC000000.001006114:35
81A. GritsyukR000020.12000—13:06
29L. HameenahoR000010.10000—12:02
72N. BjugstadC000010.031003311:52
42M. TsyplakovR000010.04110—08:53
47P. CotterL000000.00200—08:25
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)26251.9621.66+0.6660:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).