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St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV FDSNMW, MSGSN2·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Simon Nemec scoring at 2:58. The Blues scored first; the Devils answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Nemec's goal at 2:58 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.0, NJD 2.2; shots on goal were STL 23, NJD 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Simon Nemec (1 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (21 saves, .913), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    S. Nemec1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom21 saves, .913
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL27080800223
NJDNJD114190412329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:16
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:02
  3. STL
    R. Thomas(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:37

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier (11), L. Hughes (13)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:49

Overtime

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.23win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:58

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:43STLNathan Walker · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 12:48NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 7:03STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 10:20NJDJuho Lammikko · Hookingdrawn by Dalibor Dvorsky2 min

3rd

  • 2:00NJDOndrej Palat · High sticking double minordrawn by Logan Mailloux4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalSTL goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Nemec, OT 2:58 — NJD 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Nemec · Goal · xG 0.23N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.14J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.12P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.09A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.06S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.05D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNJD
2.02 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL47%53%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNJD
23
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000-110.20030—26:14
17C. FowlerD112010.01010—22:57
72J. FaulkD000040.28102—21:23
55C. ParaykoD000000.00030—21:18
18R. ThomasC101-120.110004219:48
25J. KyrouR000-120.22000—18:12
89P. BuchnevichL011010.18020—17:06
10B. SchennC000-100.143003316:59
54D. DvorskyR000-100.000004416:19
81D. HollowayL000010.05010—16:08
22P. SuterC000010.020006015:39
63J. NeighboursL000-110.09210—15:32
21J. SnuggerudR000010.32010—14:26
26N. WalkerL011+110.053226713:38
75T. TuckerD000-130.03000—13:35
71M. JosephR000+110.19300—13:29
70O. SundqvistC000+110.111001711:28
23L. MaillouxD011+120.04200—11:24
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(O)29263.8972.21-0.7962:31

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).