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Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV SNP, TSN3·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2 in overtime, Cole Perfetti scoring at 1:37. The Canucks scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Perfetti's goal at 1:37 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 28, VAN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Nikita Tolopilo stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 A), 2. Nikita Tolopilo (25 saves, .893), 3. Eric Comrie (21 saves, .913).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    N. Tolopilo25 saves, .893
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    E. Comrie21 saves, .913

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG181130314328
VANVAN171401101223

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:58
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:42

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:38
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.31win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:45

Overtime

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry (11), D. Samberg (10)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:37

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:33VANEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min

2nd

  • 10:44VANNils Hoglander · Hookingdrawn by Ville Heinola2 min
  • 14:34VANserved by E. Kane · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 11:35WPGKyle Connor · High stickingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalWPG goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Perfetti, OT 1:37 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.34N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.26E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.24B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.22B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.18M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.08C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.07T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.06T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.05F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.00B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVAN
4.03 G
All situations
2 G2.2
3.23 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG77%23%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.92 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVAN
28
Shots on goal
23
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
24
7
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
64L. StanleyD000050.40200—25:34
55M. ScheifeleC022+230.390105523:16
13G. VilardiC101+220.79000022:53
81K. ConnorL101+240.62102—22:38
2D. DeMeloD000000.04100—22:11
54D. SambergD011010.09100—22:05
57E. SalomonssonD000-120.22210—20:24
91C. PerfettiC101040.85010016:15
19J. ToewsC000-100.000005315:05
14G. NyquistR000-130.29100—14:25
34V. HeinolaD000+120.04210—13:44
9A. IafalloL000-110.05100—13:11
7V. NamestnikovC000-100.0011010013:02
5L. SchennD011+100.00100—12:40
17A. LowryC011010.140004712:24
36M. BarronC000000.021104512:05
70T. PearsonL000000.00210—10:39
45C. KoepkeL000000.04400—10:31
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)23212.9132.20+0.2061:26

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).