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Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, TSN3·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 0:48 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were WPG 30, VAN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Kevin Lankinen stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 2 A), 2. Quinn Hughes (3 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG3801329530
VANVAN212010111333

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:57
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:21
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:58
  4. WPG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:38
  5. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.48win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:53

3rd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    0:48
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:30
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.48win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:12

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:22WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 13:52VANElias Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

2nd

  • 1:01VANLukas Reichel · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 9:09VANQuinn Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 13:19WPGLogan Stanley · Interferencedrawn by Max Sasson2 min
  • 19:09VANDrew O'Connor · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalWPG goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 3rd 0:48 — WPG 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.25K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.21B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.18B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.15E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.04L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.02A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01
VAN3 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVAN
4.44 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.72 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG54%46%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVAN
30
Shots on goal
33
60%
Faceoffs
40%
2/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000+110.02220—25:13
44J. MorrisseyD123+110.10030—24:23
13G. VilardiC101-250.83100022:48
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.280006522:39
81K. ConnorL011-250.31000—22:03
64L. StanleyD011+210.04012—21:58
2D. DeMeloD000-110.03002—21:27
91C. PerfettiC011+110.05010017:20
5L. SchennD000-120.02220—14:48
9A. IafalloL112+220.52000—14:23
19J. ToewsC101+110.360006914:23
62N. NiederreiterR112+230.91100—14:18
7V. NamestnikovC000+100.20110013:35
17A. LowryC011+220.621105013:16
25P. FordC000-100.002104309:55
70T. PearsonL000020.041005009:43
90N. ChibrikovR000010.05020—08:34
24H. FleuryD000000.00130—06:38
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)33303.9092.91-0.0960:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).