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Avalanche at Mammoth
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV Utah16, ALT·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 12:20 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were COL 26, UTA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Guenther (2 G), 3. Scott Wedgewood (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0941403426
UTAUTA0829013230

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    P. Kelly(13)
    B. Burns (18), J. Manson (20)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:26
  2. COL
    V. Olofsson(11)
    S. Malinski (23), P. Kelly (10)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:13
  3. UTA
    D. Guenther(26)PPG
    M. Sergachev (30), C. Keller (38)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:49
  4. COL
    B. Nelson(30)
    G. Landeskog (16), M. Necas (41)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:20
  5. UTA
    D. Guenther(27)
    J. McBain (14), L. Cooley (10)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:20
  6. COL
    M. Necas(23)PPG
    C. Makar (43), V. Nichushkin (23)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:17

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:54COLDevon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 10:23COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 16:14UTAJack McBain · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 19:24COLMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min

3rd

  • 0:18COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 3:43UTANick DeSimone · Slashingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 14:20COLserved by R. Colton · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:15UTANick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCOL goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 12:20 — COL 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.24C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.21L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.18N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.16L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.14M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.12C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.09K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA2 G · 3.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsUTA
3.24 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL44%56%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsUTA
26
Shots on goal
30
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11B. NelsonC101+150.600103822:56
8C. MakarD011-120.06020—22:40
7D. ToewsD000-120.07022—21:38
92G. LandeskogL011+110.320025019:13
84B. BurnsD011+210.04020—19:06
27B. KulakD000+100.00030—19:03
88M. NecasC112+130.32002018:33
42J. MansonD011+210.47112—17:50
18J. DruryC000-110.112303917:13
13V. NichushkinR011-110.32000—16:35
70S. MalinskiD011+100.02020—16:11
62A. LehkonenL000-110.18100—15:34
17P. KellyC112+210.101005515:21
20R. ColtonC000+120.13410011:48
95V. OlofssonL101+220.26100—11:47
94J. KivirantaL000020.14000—10:52
54G. BrindleyC000+110.0400010008:20
93Z. BardakovC000000.001004006:54
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)30282.9333.53+1.5360:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).