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Mammoth at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸2
FinalTV Utah16, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 2:52 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 58% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were UTA 33, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (32 saves, .970), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G), 3. Ross Colton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    R. Colton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA011111011133
COLCOL1140419227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(1)
    J. Drury (1), V. Olofsson (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:57

2nd period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(1)PPG
    C. Keller (1), N. Schmaltz (1)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:48

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(1)PPG
    C. Makar (3), M. Necas (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:52

Penalties

UTA 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:09COLGabriel Landeskog · Interferencedrawn by Ian Cole2 min

2nd

  • 6:37UTABrandon Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 10:40UTANate Schmidt · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 17:44COLParker Kelly · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

3rd

  • 1:53UTAIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 4:51COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 11:40UTAJack McBain · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalUTA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 2:52 — COL 58% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.45N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.40N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.22A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.17J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.15R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCOL
2.41 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA48%52%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCOL
33
Shots on goal
27
31%
Faceoffs
69%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
20
21
Blocked shots
13
36
Giveaways
23
0
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000050.05030—24:21
9C. KellerR011020.2401010022:17
92L. CooleyC000-110.25110021:49
50S. DurziD000-120.05120—20:53
11D. GuentherR101-170.650006719:48
8N. SchmaltzC011030.200003819:40
88N. SchmidtD000-110.03132—19:12
6J. MarinoD000000.00000—18:00
77J. PeterkaR000-120.14000—17:50
28I. ColeD000000.00352—17:44
22J. McBainC000030.263222017:01
82K. StenlundC000010.130104016:42
67L. CrouseL000020.2420010015:05
26D. SimashevD000020.03110—14:25
56K. YamamotoR000010.04000—12:28
13B. TanevL000010.10512—10:09
36A. AgozzinoL000000.012103306:55
2O. MaattaD000000.00000—00:32
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)27252.9262.52+0.5258:10

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).