Skip to content

Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FOX4, KHN/Prime·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 1:43 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were SEA 19, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.5 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (2 G), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 3. Thomas Harley (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Harley2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0306110119
DALDAL11031606432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:41

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:43
  2. DAL
    pokexG 0.29win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:35
  3. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    6:14

3rd period

  1. SEA
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    6:46

Penalties

SEA 13 PIM·DAL 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:55DALThomas Harley · Interferencedrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 15:17DALJamie Benn · Holding the stickdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min

2nd

  • 3:28SEAFrederick Gaudreau · High stickingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 5:35SEAserved by J. Melanson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 16:16SEAJared McCann · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Petrovic2 min

3rd

  • 4:27DALJason Robertson · Cross checkingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 7:50DALAdam Erne · Cross checkingdrawn by Jacob Melanson2 min
  • 7:50DALAdam Erne · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Melanson2 min
  • 7:50SEAJacob Melanson · Roughingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 7:50SEABen Meyers · Fightingdrawn by Justin Hryckowian5 min
  • 7:50DALJustin Hryckowian · Fightingdrawn by Ben Meyers5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSEA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 2nd 1:43 — DAL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.29J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.20W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.20W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.17M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.17A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.16M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.14W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.14M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.14W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.10M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.09M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.07W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.07W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.07W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.05W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.05L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.04M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.04N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.04A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.03S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.03T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.00A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.00A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 3.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsDAL
2.91 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA41%59%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsDAL
19
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
21
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000020.05120—24:31
29V. DunnD000-110.12010—24:28
6A. LarssonD000-230.11100—23:20
41R. EvansD101010.08010—19:45
24J. OleksiakD000-100.00300—19:07
10M. BeniersC000-120.442105018:46
19J. McCannL000010.53012—18:01
7J. EberleR000-130.26110—17:58
9C. StephensonC000-100.000003517:23
89F. GaudreauC000-200.040025017:22
17J. SchwartzL000-130.21010—16:08
51S. WrightC000000.260104015:55
27B. CattonC000000.170106713:41
20E. TolvanenR000-100.07100—13:28
26R. WintertonC000+110.14310012:55
59B. MeyersC000010.401053612:16
63J. MelansonR000010.02712—08:53
55R. LindgrenD000000.00100—01:24
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)32284.8753.49-0.5160:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).