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Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 3-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Kolyachonok's goal at 14:16 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.5, SEA 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 21, SEA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Joey Daccord stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G), 3. Vince Dunn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1101912321
SEASEA1100919228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:52
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:06

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:13

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:18
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +39 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:16

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:49DALAlexander Petrovic · High sticking double minordrawn by Jared McCann4 min
  • 18:55SEAVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

2nd

  • 8:50DALJamie Benn · Holding the stickdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 16:33DALRoope Hintz · Holdingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 16:33SEAVince Dunn · Holdingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

3rd

  • 2:17DALserved by N. Bastian · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:25DALAlexander Petrovic · Trippingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalDAL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Kolyachonok, 3rd 14:16 — DAL 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.25J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.20S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.16T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.13J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.08M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.04S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01
SEA2 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSEA
2.53 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL50%50%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSEA
21
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-220.14020—29:07
23E. LindellD101-120.20120—28:16
53W. JohnstonC000-140.611003619:22
6L. BichselD000000.00510—18:55
21J. RobertsonL000+220.16000—18:17
24R. HintzC101+230.570028618:13
28A. PetrovicD011+120.08236—17:57
96M. RantanenR000-120.40110—16:36
91T. SeguinC022+310.110102516:03
10O. BäckC000-100.00200013:57
49J. HryckowianC011000.001105013:39
18S. SteelC000000.0010010013:34
44V. KolyachonokD101+210.01100—12:03
20K. CapobiancoD011+200.16000—11:54
12R. FaksaC000000.001205011:47
14J. BennL011010.0400210011:01
22M. BourqueC000-110.010005010:55
11N. BastianR000000.00100—06:32
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)28262.9292.27+0.2759:52

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).