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Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 3:38. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 3:38 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were MTL 20, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.2 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 2. Brock Faber (1 G), 3. Quinn Hughes (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    Q. Hughes3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL15191501320
MINMIN26071912424

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:38
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:48
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:08

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:43

3rd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki (47), N. Dobson (26)
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:12
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    7:05

Overtime

  1. MIN
    Q. Hughes (50), M. Boldy (29)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:38

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:55MTLOliver Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 7:53MTLLane Hutson · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 11:14MINZach Bogosian · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min

OT

  • 2:34MTLPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalMTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 3:38 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.20V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.18M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.17D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.13M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.12B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.09M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.06D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsMIN
1.73 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL29%71%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsMIN
20
Shots on goal
24
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD011+300.01002—25:55
8M. MathesonD011-310.04020—25:41
53N. DobsonD011030.07330—25:10
21K. GuhleD000-210.05110—20:41
14N. SuzukiC011-100.051004420:34
45A. CarrierD011+200.00020—19:42
13C. CaufieldR000-110.04000—19:03
20J. SlafkovskýL000020.2800010018:09
77K. DachC101-140.37100017:19
24P. DanaultC011+120.091325316:26
71J. EvansC000010.011109115:44
91O. KapanenC000010.240022014:23
93I. DemidovR101010.12010—14:11
17J. AndersonR000+100.00300—13:06
11B. GallagherR101+120.20000—13:03
90J. VelenoC000000.001004011:24
76Z. BolducR000010.11300—11:18
72A. XhekajD000000.00100—05:51
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(O)24204.8332.80-1.2062:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).