Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 3:38. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 3:38 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were MTL 20, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.2 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 2. Brock Faber (1 G), 3. Quinn Hughes (3 A).
Three stars
- ★K. Kaprizov2 G

- ★★B. Faber1 G

- ★★★Q. Hughes3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-10:38
0-215:48
1-219:08
2nd period
2-219:43
3rd period
3-20:12
3-37:05
Overtime
3-43:38
Penalties
1st
- 0:55
Oliver Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
2nd
- 7:53
Lane Hutson · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
- 11:14
Zach Bogosian · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min
OT
- 2:34
Phillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 3:38 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.73 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 1.63 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.80
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 16
- Hits
- 18
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 12
- Giveaways
- 14
- 6
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
4Final
3@
4OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















