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Wild at Canadiens
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 19:45 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.3, MTL 2.5; shots on goal were MIN 20, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.5 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G), 2. Alexandre Carrier (1 G), 3. Ivan Demidov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    A. Carrier1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    I. Demidov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1211018320
MTLMTL2151919433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    V. Tarasenko(12)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (19), Q. Hughes (40)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:44
  2. MTL
    P. Danault(1)
    J. Anderson (6), K. Guhle (2)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:22
  3. MTL
    A. Carrier(5)
    M. Matheson (18), I. Demidov (31)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:08

2nd period

  1. MIN
    B. Faber(11)
    K. Kaprizov (33), V. Hinostroza (6)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:16
  2. MTL
    L. Hutson(9)
    I. Demidov (32), J. Struble (7)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:35

3rd period

  1. MIN
    V. Tarasenko(13)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (34), M. Zuccarello (20)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:40
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(25)
    N. Suzuki (40), L. Hutson (43)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +48 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:45

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:29MTLPhillip Danault · Slashingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 15:53MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 18:21MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 18:47MTLLane Hutson · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

3rd

  • 4:45MINNico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 10:33MTLLane Hutson · Hookingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 11:49MTLMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalMIN goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 3rd 19:45 — MTL 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.24P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.24N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.12J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.11I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.08J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.08J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.07I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.06J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.05A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.00J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.00N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.00K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 2.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsMTL
2.33 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN45%55%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsMTL
20
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
18
22
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011020.19030—30:03
7B. FaberD101020.02100—27:47
97K. KaprizovL022010.74000—23:40
36M. ZuccarelloR022-110.11010—21:52
38R. HartmanR000010.200045020:44
5J. MiddletonD000-220.04210—19:54
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.01010—19:29
13Y. TreninC000-320.426205015:59
17M. FolignoL000000.00400—15:50
91V. TarasenkoR202-230.38110—15:46
18V. HinostrozaC011+120.07010013:30
22D. YurovR000-110.040104513:26
37H. HaightC000-100.021103811:34
78N. SturmC000-100.000125411:27
48D. HuntD000-220.07030—11:02
82D. SpacekD000-100.00120—09:31
39B. JonesC000-100.000306707:19
19T. PitlickC000000.00110006:13
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(L)33294.8792.50-1.5058:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).