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Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, FDSNW·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 1:25. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 1:25 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were LAK 13, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 11 of 13 (.846). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Alexander Nikishin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Nikishin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK04042500213
CARCAR1401411313334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(13)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:25

3rd period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:57
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:21
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.16win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:49

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(19)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:25

Penalties

LAK 14 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:32CARJordan Martinook · Boardingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 6:21LAKKevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

2nd

  • 0:01LAKCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 0:01LAKCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 0:01CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 2:39LAKJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 9:19CARTaylor Hall · Embellishment2 min
  • 9:19LAKBrandt Clarke · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 19:20LAKBrandt Clarke · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 19:20CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min

3rd

  • 6:18CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 7:46LAKCorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalLAK goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 1:25 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.48T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.19S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.17J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.13J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.10A. Nikishin · Goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.09A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCAR
1.62 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK17%83%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCAR
13
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/4
14
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
11
25
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+200.00030—25:47
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.04232—23:51
92B. ClarkeD000-240.32064—22:35
2B. DumoulinD011+100.00000—22:05
55Q. ByfieldR101-110.332105720:00
5C. CeciD000000.02140—19:53
9A. KempeR011020.242004319:22
14A. LaferriereR000000.003101418:44
22K. FialaL000000.161125018:14
11A. KopitarC000000.003205017:11
10C. PerryR000+110.0801610014:51
12T. MooreL000010.08000—14:35
40J. ArmiaR000010.042005014:07
96A. KuzmenkoL000-100.05000—14:05
79S. HeleniusC101+110.1710010009:05
52T. WardR000+100.0021010008:30
39J. MalottL011+110.03610—08:26
44M. AndersonD000000.00010—02:50
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(O)34313.9123.73+0.7361:25

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).