Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 1:25. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 1:25 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were LAK 13, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 11 of 13 (.846). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Alexander Nikishin (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Aho1 G

- ★★J. Staal1 G

- ★★★A. Nikishin1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-16:25
3rd period
0-212:57
1-213:21
2-216:49
Overtime
2-31:25
Penalties
1st
- 0:32
Jordan Martinook · Boardingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
- 6:21
Kevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
2nd
- 0:01
Corey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 0:01
Corey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 0:01
Jordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
- 2:39
Joel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
- 9:19
Taylor Hall · Embellishment2 min
- 9:19
Brandt Clarke · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
- 19:20
Brandt Clarke · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 19:20
Jordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
3rd
- 6:18
Jalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
- 7:46
Corey Perry · Slashingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 1:25 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.62 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.7
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 13
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 25
- Hits
- 11
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 12
- Giveaways
- 13
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-0
4@
3OTFinal
2@
3OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















