Carolina Hurricanes at Los Angeles Kings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Seth Jarvis scoring at 1:45. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 1:45 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 40, LAK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 2. Jordan Staal (2 G), 3. Adrian Kempe (2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-00:12
2-03:58
2nd period
3-03:43
3-14:35
3-216:04
3rd period
3-311:02
Overtime
4-31:45
Penalties
1st
- 0:41
Adrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
2nd
- 15:55
Jackson Blake · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
- 18:46
Kevin Fiala · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
- 19:21
Warren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Seth Jarvis, OT 1:45 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.34 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.2
- 2.84 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 2.19
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 62%
- Faceoffs
- 38%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 18
- Hits
- 29
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 16
- Giveaways
- 21
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-0
4@
3OTthis game
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















