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Carolina Hurricanes at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, FDSNW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Seth Jarvis scoring at 1:45. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 1:45 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 40, LAK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 2. Jordan Staal (2 G), 3. Adrian Kempe (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR21311501111440
LAKLAK082121800328

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:12
  2. CAR
    slapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:58

2nd period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:43
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:35
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.39win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:04

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.11win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:02

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho (6), K. Miller (2)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:45

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:41LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

2nd

  • 15:55CARJackson Blake · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 18:46LAKKevin Fiala · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 19:21LAKWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCAR goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, OT 1:45 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.39P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.22A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.15T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.15K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · Goal · xG 0.10T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.04J. Malott · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.02S. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01S. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Malott · On goal · xG 0.01S. Helenius · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01B. Clarke · Missed · xG 0.00D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.00D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 2.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsLAK
3.34 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.84 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR69%31%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsLAK
40
Shots on goal
28
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
29
20
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
21
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD022+230.10110—27:36
26S. WalkerD000060.13010—26:03
20S. AhoC011+130.264303921:29
5J. ChatfieldD011+100.02120—21:10
24S. JarvisR101+160.83020—21:05
21A. NikishinD000000.00300—20:23
27N. EhlersL000050.5702010020:13
6M. ReillyD011000.01150—18:49
53J. BlakeR000-120.14012—18:29
28W. CarrierL011+310.04100—14:55
22L. StankovenC000-120.220006714:11
11J. StaalC202+240.492109113:59
71T. HallL000-120.15010—13:56
50E. RobinsonL000000.03200—12:37
48J. MartinookL011+220.13000—12:17
82J. KotkaniemiC101020.192106212:06
37A. SvechnikovR000-120.01100—11:42
4S. GostisbehereD000000.00000—04:06
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)28253.8932.22-0.7861:45

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).