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Avalanche at Red Wings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Detroit Red Wings
0
FinalTV ABC, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 10:03 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were COL 21, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (28 saves, 1.000), 3. Brent Burns (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood28 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Burns1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL282914521
DETDET0110908028

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Burns(9)
    N. MacKinnon (51), V. Nichushkin (19)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:44
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(39)
    A. Lehkonen (22)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:03

2nd period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(7)
    B. Nelson (20), J. Manson (19)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:24
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(40)
    A. Lehkonen (23)
    slapxG 0.28win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    13:33

3rd period

  1. COL
    P. Kelly(12)
    J. Kiviranta (5), J. Drury (11)
    backhandxG 0.10Video
    5-0
    7:35

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:31COLJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 15:45COLParker Kelly · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

2nd

  • 2:40DETErik Gustafsson · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 17:13DETJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 19:52COLBrock Nelson · High stickingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 19:52DETJ.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCOL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 1st 10:03 — COL 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.13L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.13L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.11E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.05A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.00M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.00
DET0 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsDET
3.45 G
All situations
0 G2.5
2.35 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL64%36%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsDET
21
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
14
19
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000+310.10100—26:30
13V. NichushkinR011+310.47000—22:57
29N. MacKinnonC213+340.850204421:36
84B. BurnsD101+210.06000—20:52
70S. MalinskiD000+420.08040—20:44
42J. MansonD011+110.00222—19:48
11B. NelsonC011+110.290125319:38
49S. GirardD000000.00020—18:56
62A. LehkonenL022+310.21000—18:41
18J. DruryC011+100.000005315:38
20R. ColtonC101+130.451003314:56
17P. KellyC101+110.43102014:20
94J. KivirantaL011+120.24210—13:35
95V. OlofssonL000+120.08010—12:32
67K. MiddletonD000000.00200—08:55
93Z. BardakovC000000.081005008:14
54G. BrindleyC000010.08000008:07
16T. MakarL000000.00200—08:01
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)282801.0002.53+2.5360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).