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Maple Leafs at Kraken
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Seattle Kraken
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shane Wright's goal at 6:23 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were TOR 31, SEA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.8 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Shane Wright (2 G), 2. Brandon Montour (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joey Daccord (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    S. Wright2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    B. Montour1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Daccord29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR11101317231
SEASEA192726522

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    M. Beniers(14)
    J. McCann (13), J. Eberle (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:21
  2. TOR
    N. Robertson(12)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:02

2nd period

  1. SEA
    S. Wright(8)
    J. Schwartz (10), A. Larsson (9)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:23
  2. SEA
    B. Montour(7)
    F. Gaudreau (11), C. Stephenson (19)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:54

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(7)PPG
    M. Domi (21)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:04
  2. SEA
    S. Wright(9)
    B. Montour (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:32
  3. SEA
    J. McCann(15)EN
    J. Oleksiak (6)
    wristxG 0.52Video
    2-5
    17:23

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:35SEAAdam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
  • 18:57TORTroy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min

2nd

  • 17:11SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min

3rd

  • 4:57SEAShane Wright · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 9:37TORBrandon Carlo · Interferencedrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalTOR goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Shane Wright, 2nd 6:23 — SEA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.52S. Wright · Goal · xG 0.15M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10S. Wright · Goal · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Melanson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.04B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA5 G · 1.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsSEA
2.82 G
All situations
4 G1.7
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G1.0
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR78%22%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 1.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsSEA
31
Shots on goal
22
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
13
9
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000050.06110—22:55
44M. RiellyD101-130.04020—22:53
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-210.06300—22:36
34A. MatthewsC000-140.340005021:00
11M. DomiC011-110.05000019:51
25B. CarloD000-210.05312—17:58
74B. McMannC000-130.30200016:56
55N. RoyC000-100.112002716:52
89N. RobertsonL101020.29100—16:12
23M. KniesL000-430.63000—16:04
91J. TavaresC000-330.351004615:32
19C. JarnkrokC000+110.0800010015:20
2S. BenoitD000-110.03330—14:01
28T. StecherD000-120.09122—13:36
24S. LaughtonC000000.003004612:53
18S. LorentzC000000.09000011:53
63M. MaccelliL000-310.19000—11:10
53E. CowanR000-100.00000—09:44
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(L)21174.8101.19-2.8158:34

Season series

SEA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).