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Kraken at Maple Leafs
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
▸4
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Final/OTTV NHLN, KHN/Prime·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Josh Mahura scoring at 3:06. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Mahura's goal at 3:06 of overtime, which took the Kraken's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — SEA 2.2, TOR 2.4; shots on goal were SEA 28, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Tavares (2 G), 2. Shane Wright (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Mahura (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    S. Wright1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Mahura1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA18290714428
TORTOR1911011100330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    S. Wright(2)PPG
    J. Schwartz (3), M. Marchment (2)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:29
  2. TOR
    M. Rielly(2)
    A. Matthews (2), M. Knies (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:56

2nd period

  1. SEA
    J. Nyman(2)
    M. Marchment (3), S. Wright (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:19
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(2)
    W. Nylander (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:01
  3. SEA
    V. Dunn(2)
    E. Tolvanen (1), C. Stephenson (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:44

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(3)PPG
    W. Nylander (9)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:21

Overtime

  1. SEA
    J. Mahura(1)
    J. Eberle (4), C. Stephenson (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:06

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:38TORNicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min
  • 8:58SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 16:44TORBobby McMann · Roughingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min

2nd

  • 4:04SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 19:05SEAMason Marchment · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anthony Stolarz2 min

3rd

  • 1:17SEARyan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalSEA goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Mahura, OT 3:06 — SEA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.25N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.20E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.19J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.18M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.07J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.06D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cowan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsTOR
2.24 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA46%54%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
30
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
29
19
Blocked shots
15
19
Giveaways
28
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000+140.13260—27:43
29V. DunnD101+120.03004—27:24
24J. OleksiakD000-110.01210—20:44
10M. BeniersC000-110.150204220:14
9C. StephensonC022+120.160004619:13
7J. EberleR011020.06010—17:50
55R. LindgrenD000-100.01032—17:17
19J. McCannL000-100.00200—17:08
17J. SchwartzL011030.47210—17:05
51S. WrightC112+150.660002516:04
27M. MarchmentL022+120.03202—15:50
20E. TolvanenR011000.16400—15:30
28J. MahuraD101+120.19130—15:06
38J. NymanR101+120.11100—13:23
8C. FleuryD000010.01320—11:45
12T. KartyeL000000.01300—11:21
15J. HaydenC000010.03200009:56
26R. WintertonC000000.00200009:41
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(W)30273.9002.40-0.6063:06

Season series

SEA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).