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Jets at Lightning
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV The Spot, TSN3·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 15:17 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were WPG 24, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.7 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darren Raddysh (1 G, 2 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (23 saves, .958), 3. Yanni Gourde (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0121804124
TBLTBL110211116437

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    D. James(5)
    D. Raddysh (31), J. Moser (13)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:58

2nd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(15)
    Y. Gourde (13), Z. Girgensons (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:37
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(24)
    D. Samberg (9), M. Scheifele (38)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:25
  3. TBL
    Y. Gourde(7)
    N. Kucherov (55), D. Raddysh (32)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:17

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(27)EN
    Y. Gourde (14), Z. Girgensons (7)
    wristxG 0.86Video
    1-4
    18:52

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:27TBLJ.J. Moser · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 2:17WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

3rd

  • 6:41TBLJack Finley · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:25TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min
  • 9:25WPGCole Perfetti · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalWPG goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 2nd 15:17 — TBL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.86G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.17A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.12D. James · Goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.10G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.09D. James · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.08J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.07P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.07D. James · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.05D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.04E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.03D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsTBL
1.91 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG41%59%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
37
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000010.05010—26:35
81K. ConnorL101-150.50000—22:28
54D. SambergD011010.00000—21:26
55M. ScheifeleC011-100.002105021:20
13G. VilardiC000-100.20100020:06
2D. DeMeloD000000.01212—19:59
57E. SalomonssonD000-160.13310—19:40
64L. StanleyD000-310.00020—16:38
9A. IafalloL000-200.00100—15:55
19J. ToewsC000-200.000104015:29
91C. PerfettiC000-230.12222015:14
17A. LowryC000030.182106014:25
7V. NamestnikovC000-110.14200013:25
62N. NiederreiterR000010.10200—13:00
5L. SchennD000-200.00620—11:48
36M. BarronC000020.271004611:39
45C. KoepkeL000000.15310—09:20
70T. PearsonL000000.01200—09:09
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)36333.9172.34-0.6658:24

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).