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Jets at Devils
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils

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Winnipeg Jets
▸4
New Jersey Devils
3
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN3·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Koepke's goal at 7:51 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.7, NJD 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 26, NJD 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.5 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Connor (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1831404426
NJDNJD1915115329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(26)
    K. Connor (36), G. Vilardi (26)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:33
  2. NJD
    L. Hameenaho(2)
    A. Gritsyuk (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:02

2nd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(20)
    M. Scheifele (37), K. Connor (37)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:23
  2. WPG
    C. Koepke(5)
    A. Iafallo (11), M. Barron (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:51
  3. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(8)
    V. Namestnikov (6), A. Lowry (8)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:42
  4. NJD
    J. Bratt(12)PPG
    J. Hughes (23), D. Hamilton (14)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:24

3rd period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(17)
    J. Bratt (27), J. Hughes (24)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:14

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:35NJDSimon Nemec · Holdingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

2nd

  • 10:29NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 17:39WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

3rd

  • 14:00WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWPG goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Koepke, 2nd 7:51 — WPG 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.21C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.18J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.17L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.14J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.13A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.07L. Hameenaho · Goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNJD
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.94 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG44%56%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNJD
26
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
14
21
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD000020.04120—24:16
44J. MorrisseyD000+130.13122—23:43
54D. SambergD000+100.01310—21:25
55M. ScheifeleC112+140.560205020:35
81K. ConnorL022+120.45002—20:35
13G. VilardiC112+220.15000018:48
57E. SalomonssonD000+110.03020—17:49
17A. LowryC011000.003107116:28
7V. NamestnikovC011030.70020015:43
62N. NiederreiterR101010.11020—15:35
64L. StanleyD000010.04110—15:06
5L. SchennD000+100.00110—14:04
19J. ToewsC000020.120106013:03
9A. IafalloL011010.12520—13:02
91C. PerfettiC000020.04010012:34
70T. PearsonL000010.02110—11:59
36M. BarronC011+100.054002211:53
45C. KoepkeL101+110.17400—10:00
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)29263.8972.49-0.5159:37

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).