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New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NHLN, MSGSN·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Pearson's goal at 6:17 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.2 to 3.6; shots on goal were NJD 27, WPG 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 0.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Perfetti (2 A), 2. Josh Morrissey (2 A), 3. Luke Hughes (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Perfetti2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    L. Hughes2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1821306327
WPGWPG182519422

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.26win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:50
  2. NJD
    L. Hughes (18), J. Bratt (25)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:27

2nd period

  1. NJD
    L. Hughes (19), J. Hughes (15)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:05
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:36
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:08
  4. WPG
    batxG 0.77win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:57

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.21win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-4
    6:17

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:41NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Interferencedrawn by Colin Miller2 min

2nd

  • 4:56NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 13:44WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNJD goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Pearson, 3rd 6:17 — WPG 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.77K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.52A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.28A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.26C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.22T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.21A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.17J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.17C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.15C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.13J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Zhilkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.00D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 4.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWPG
3.63 G
All situations
4 G4.2
2.83 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD52%48%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
22
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
22
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC022+240.56010027:04
43L. HughesD022-120.04000—24:41
13N. HischierC101+120.781104824:16
63J. BrattL011030.56200—21:05
22B. PesceD000-100.00020—19:50
17S. NemecD000-120.06010—19:28
71J. SiegenthalerD000+200.00102—18:49
8J. KovacevicD011+110.21120—18:14
28T. MeierR000-120.4521010017:49
91D. MercerC000-110.040004316:44
5B. DillonD000-210.01210—15:14
16C. BrownR000020.15000—15:07
81A. GritsyukR000-130.33002—14:16
12C. GlassC202+120.131004312:19
33E. DadonovL000-100.00100—10:00
14L. GlendeningC000-120.222206709:25
47P. CotterL000-100.02200—06:58
18O. PalatL000-100.00200—06:32
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)22184.8183.41-0.5958:09

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).