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Mammoth at Panthers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Florida Panthers
3
FinalTV Utah16, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikhail Sergachev's goal at 11:05 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals were close — UTA 2.6, FLA 2.6; shots on goal were UTA 20, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G), 2. Sandis Vilmanis (1 G), 3. Sean Durzi (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    M. Sergachev1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Vilmanis1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    S. Durzi1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA171528420
FLAFLA01121019330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(19)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:46

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Vilmanis(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:52
  2. UTA
    S. Durzi(4)
    J. McBain (11), M. Carcone (9)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:46
  3. FLA
    C. Schwindt(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:55

3rd period

  1. UTA
    M. Sergachev(8)
    S. Durzi (13)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:05
  2. UTA
    B. Hayton(7)EN
    K. Stenlund (8)
    wristxG 0.79win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:04
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(16)
    S. Bennett (22), B. Marchand (25)
    snapxG 0.05Video
    4-3
    19:44

Penalties

UTA 12 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:55UTABrandon Tanev · Trippingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

2nd

  • 5:24UTANate Schmidt · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:37FLAA.J. Greer · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 15:32UTAClayton Keller · Cross checkingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 19:29FLAAnton Lundell · Roughingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

3rd

  • 3:00UTAMichael Carcone · Interferencedrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 13:48FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 13:52UTABarrett Hayton · Interferencedrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 13:52FLAEvan Rodrigues · Embellishment2 min
  • 17:51UTANick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:51FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Embellishment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalUTA goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Mikhail Sergachev, 3rd 11:05 — UTA 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.22M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.11S. Vilmanis · Missed · xG 0.11S. Vilmanis · Goal · xG 0.11E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Vilmanis · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06C. Schwindt · Goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.04U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsFLA
2.63 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA35%65%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsFLA
20
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
7
24
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD101+120.07040—25:37
8N. SchmaltzC101+210.200024420:40
6J. MarinoD000+210.01000—20:32
67L. CrouseL000000.06110—20:26
50S. DurziD112+120.19010—19:56
9C. KellerR000+110.22002—18:33
88N. SchmidtD000020.01022—18:30
28I. ColeD000-110.00130—18:06
77J. PeterkaR000-210.070005016:50
82K. StenlundC011030.050006216:37
22J. McBainC011+100.294007316:15
27B. HaytonC101020.810125415:23
57N. DeSimoneD000-100.01000—12:16
53M. CarconeL011+110.01202—12:13
19D. ButL000-130.46000—11:42
56K. YamamotoR000+100.00000—10:45
38L. O'BrienC000-100.04800007:58
13B. TanevL000000.06012—07:43
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)30273.9002.60-0.4059:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).