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Panthers at Mammoth
NHL

Florida Panthers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV Utah16, SCRIPPS·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 19:08 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were FLA 36, UTA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Karel Vejmelka stopped 32 of 36 (.889). Three stars: 1. Anton Lundell (1 G), 2. Sam Bennett (2 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Guenther (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11027119436
UTAUTA11321304330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(12)
    J. Marino (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:23
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(9)
    A. Ekblad (7), S. Bennett (11)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:17

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett(8)
    E. Rodrigues (7), N. Mikkola (5)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:40
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(9)
    C. Verhaeghe (14)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:24
  3. UTA
    D. Guenther(13)
    L. Crouse (6), J. Marino (14)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:37
  4. UTA
    J. McBain(3)
    S. Durzi (3), I. Cole (10)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:37

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(8)
    E. Luostarinen (9), S. Reinhart (13)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-3
    19:08

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·UTA 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:01FLAUvis Balinskis · Slashingdrawn by Daniil But2 min
  • 19:27FLAA.J. Greer · High stickingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min

2nd

  • 19:15FLAEetu Luostarinen · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min

3rd

  • 1:05UTAMikhail Sergachev · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 6:48UTASean Durzi · Hookingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalFLA goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, 3rd 19:08 — FLA 48% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McBain · Goal · xG 0.25M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.22L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.21M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.20J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.16D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.16D. But · On goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.14J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.14J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.09J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lamoureux · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.00J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.00B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.00D. But · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsUTA
4.54 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA65%35%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.01 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsUTA
36
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000+110.18000—24:29
42G. ForslingD000030.12020—24:15
5A. EkbladD011010.05040—22:12
13S. ReinhartC011+110.18100020:59
15A. LundellC101+130.671305019:58
77N. MikkolaD011+110.03310—19:31
27E. LuostarinenC011+150.86102019:13
9S. BennettC213+140.303005017:52
63B. MarchandL000040.44010—16:55
23C. VerhaegheC112040.502006716:21
17E. RodriguesC011010.360007016:19
11M. SamoskevichR000-160.67200—15:26
26U. BalinskisD000000.00302—13:20
10A. GreerL000000.06102—13:12
2J. PetryD000010.07020—12:27
70J. BoqvistC000000.00100008:03
18N. GregorL000000.00110—06:44
53J. StudnickaC000010.012102006:44
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)30273.9003.18+0.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).