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Mammoth at Lightning
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸2
FinalTV The Spot, Utah16·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Utah Mammoth 2-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 17:38 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were UTA 28, TBL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 3.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Darren Raddysh (1 G), 3. Karel Vejmelka (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0120808028
TBLTBL01116112229

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(14)PPG
    N. Kucherov (53), J. Guentzel (31)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:38

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(15)PPG
    J. Moser (12), N. Kucherov (54)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:14

Penalties

UTA 19 PIM·TBL 17 PIM

1st

  • 17:16UTAMikhail Sergachev · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 4:45TBLBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 6:59TBLDeclan Carlile · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 6:59UTASean Durzi · Roughingdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min
  • 6:59TBLDeclan Carlile · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 14:05UTAIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Dominic James2 min
  • 14:05UTAIan Cole · Fightingdrawn by Nick Paul5 min
  • 14:05TBLNick Paul · Fightingdrawn by Ian Cole5 min
  • 16:21UTAJohn Marino · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

3rd

  • 13:16TBLZemgus Girgensons · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 17:29UTALawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min
  • 19:44TBLZemgus Girgensons · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 19:44UTAMikhail Sergachev · Roughingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 19:44UTAMikhail Sergachev · Roughingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 19:44TBLZemgus Girgensons · Roughingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalUTA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Darren Raddysh, 2nd 17:38 — TBL 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.20Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.17O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.16B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.15D. James · Missed · xG 0.14Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.13E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.12N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.11O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.10N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.10D. James · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.06G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.05D. James · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.05J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.04D. James · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02D. James · On goal · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsTBL
3.70 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.90 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA56%44%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.63 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsTBL
28
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
2/4
19
Penalty minutes
17
18
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000020.12216—25:04
8N. SchmaltzC000000.201005422:14
88N. SchmidtD000000.00120—21:03
50S. DurziD000020.10102—20:39
6J. MarinoD000000.02112—20:15
9C. KellerR000010.19000—19:56
11D. GuentherR000050.57010—18:28
67L. CrouseL000000.080125017:51
27B. HaytonC000050.590007015:28
77J. PeterkaR000020.48010—14:27
82K. StenlundC000000.071005313:47
28I. ColeD000010.03107—13:40
57N. DeSimoneD000000.00000—13:23
22J. McBainC000030.212004013:13
53M. CarconeL000040.72400—12:55
19D. ButL000020.14100—12:50
56K. YamamotoR000010.16010—10:06
13B. TanevL000000.00300—07:39
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)29272.9313.33+1.3360:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).