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Panthers at Wild
NHL

Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Minnesota Wild
3
Final/OTTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime, Brad Marchand scoring at 3:00. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 3:00 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 34, MIN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 21 (.857); Filip Gustavsson stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Marchand2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA2100151811434
MINMIN151101600321

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(25)
    A. Ekblad (18), C. Verhaeghe (23)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:44
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(28)PPG
    M. Boldy (25), M. Zuccarello (22)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:17
  3. FLA
    B. Marchand(24)PPG
    S. Reinhart (24), M. Tkachuk (2)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:20

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(12)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (36), Q. Hughes (44)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:33

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(28)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:09
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(19)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (3), B. Marchand (24)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:11

Overtime

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(25)
    C. Verhaeghe (24)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:00

Penalties

FLA 17 PIM·MIN 17 PIM

1st

  • 3:22MINKirill Kaprizov · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:59FLAA.J. Greer · Trippingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 17:21MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 0:46MINKirill Kaprizov · Slashingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 3:47FLAA.J. Greer · Holdingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 6:49FLABrad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 12:01MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by A.J. Greer5 min
  • 12:01FLAA.J. Greer · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 14:26FLAEvan Rodrigues · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 16:26MINQuinn Hughes · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:43MINNico Sturm · Slashingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 8:18FLAEetu Luostarinen · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 11:32MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 15:11FLANiko Mikkola · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalFLA goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, OT 3:00 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.25J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.22B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.21M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.20M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.18V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.15M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.6 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMIN
3.34 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
1.32 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA62%38%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMIN
34
Shots on goal
21
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/6
Power play
2/6
17
Penalty minutes
17
17
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+100.00050—27:16
13S. ReinhartC112030.820005726:22
9S. BennettC101-140.252006025:11
26U. BalinskisD000-120.06210—24:07
77N. MikkolaD000+110.02122—21:00
5A. EkbladD011+110.03220—20:57
19M. TkachukL022-140.31100—20:06
15A. LundellC000050.241005019:35
63B. MarchandL213060.79002—18:12
23C. VerhaegheC022+220.31000015:46
27E. LuostarinenC000030.40122014:42
17E. RodriguesC000+120.040023314:35
2J. PetryD000000.00010—12:22
11M. SamoskevichR000000.00100—10:36
10A. GreerL000010.01219—09:03
71L. KuninC000000.002106007:02
22T. BjornfotD000000.00200—06:40
95S. VilmanisL000000.05000—05:24
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)21183.8572.63-0.3763:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).