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Flyers at Avalanche
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸7
Colorado Avalanche
3
FinalTV ALT, NBCSP·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Tippett's goal at 0:56 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were PHI 20, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 13 of 19 (.684), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Owen Tippett (3 G, 1 A), 2. Matvei Michkov (2 G, 1 A), 3. Denver Barkey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    O. Tippett3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Michkov2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Barkey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI261648720
COLCOL01737011335

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(16)
    D. Barkey (6), C. York (17)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:02
  2. PHI
    D. Barkey(2)PPG
    M. Michkov (15), O. Tippett (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:57

2nd period

  1. COL
    P. Kelly(10)
    Z. Bardakov (8), J. Ahcan (2)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:17
  2. COL
    V. Olofsson(10)
    N. MacKinnon (48), M. Necas (39)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:29
  3. PHI
    B. Brink(13)
    N. Cates (16)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:01
  4. COL
    C. Makar(15)
    N. MacKinnon (49), M. Necas (40)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:12

3rd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(17)
    S. Couturier (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:56
  2. PHI
    M. Michkov(11)
    E. Andrae (10), G. Hathaway (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    2:00
  3. PHI
    O. Tippett(18)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +5 ptsVideo
    6-3
    10:24
  4. PHI
    M. Michkov(12)EN
    T. Konecny (28)
    wristxG 0.75Video
    7-3
    16:53

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:45PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 4:59PHINoah Cates · Interferencedrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 17:41COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 2:02COLArtturi Lehkonen · High stickingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min

3rd

  • 4:17PHIEmil Andrae · Trippingdrawn by Zakhar Bardakov2 min
  • 8:37PHIDenver Barkey · Slashingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalPHI goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Owen Tippett, 3rd 0:56 — PHI 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.43P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.18V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.17C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.15V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.10V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.06G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ahcan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01
COL3 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCOL
4.06 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.34 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI54%46%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
15
21
Blocked shots
10
23
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. DrysdaleD000+300.00040—22:30
24N. SeelerD000+100.01230—22:16
6T. SanheimD000+100.00030—22:05
8C. YorkD011+110.04120—21:33
22C. DvorakC000-130.440104720:48
11T. KonecnyR011010.31002—19:53
14S. CouturierC011010.081106217:37
74O. TippettR314+140.68020—16:04
47N. JuulsenD000000.00310—15:50
46T. ZegrasC000-110.50110015:12
27N. CatesL011+300.311125015:00
39M. MichkovR213+351.13100—14:31
52D. BarkeyC112020.10002013:51
36E. AndraeD011000.00102—13:20
10B. BrinkR101+120.25000—13:13
91C. GrundstromR000000.00300—11:30
25L. PedersonC000+100.114103308:43
19G. HathawayR011+100.01310—08:10
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(W)35323.9142.99-0.0159:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).