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Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN-PIT, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 2:42 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 23, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Tristan Jarry stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 3.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (2 G), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Justin Brazeau (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Mantha2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Brazeau2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT3921014623
EDMEDM012110110232

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:20
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:42
  3. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    2:57

2nd period

  1. EDM
    J. Walman(4)SHG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:19
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin (27), B. Rust (21)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:29
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    14:27

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-1
    2:50
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.03Video
    6-2
    13:57

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:54EDMSpencer Stastney · Interferencedrawn by Ben Kindel2 min
  • 11:25PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 3:47EDMConnor McDavid · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 16:57PITBen Kindel · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalPIT goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 1st 2:42 — PIT 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.18C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13I. Howard · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07I. Howard · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.05J. Walman · Goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04I. Howard · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04M. Savoie · Goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01I. Howard · Missed · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsEDM
2.86 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.16 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT58%42%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsEDM
23
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77B. KulakD011+210.01000—21:15
65E. KarlssonD000+100.02000—19:58
75C. CliftonD011+210.02200—19:56
28P. WotherspoonD000000.00120—19:13
71E. MalkinC112+320.51000019:02
3J. St. IvanyD022+200.00220—18:59
5R. SheaD011+210.07020—18:19
87S. CrosbyC101+220.150025017:03
67R. RakellR101+130.30200—16:13
17B. RustR011+120.23010—16:01
19C. DewarC000+120.31310015:17
81B. KindelC000+100.000223814:31
55N. AcciariC000010.200003014:07
18T. NovakC011+220.250004413:58
46B. LizotteC000-110.092007513:48
39A. ManthaR202+130.41000—13:43
16J. BrazeauR022+110.14000—13:07
59E. ChinakhovR101010.11100—12:04
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(W)32302.9382.37+0.3759:26

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).