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Oilers at Penguins
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
FinalTV TNT, truTV·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-4. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Savoie's goal at 4:35 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 3.3; shots on goal were EDM 23, PIT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.7 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (4 A), 2. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2102726623
PITPIT1919212430

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(8)PPG
    C. McDavid (35), L. Draisaitl (27)
    backhandxG 0.46win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:38
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(19)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (28), E. Bouchard (26)
    backhandxG 0.40win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:52
  3. PIT
    T. Novak(6)
    A. Mantha (11)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:15

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Savoie(7)
    A. Regula (2), M. Janmark (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:35
  2. PIT
    E. Karlsson(3)PPG
    S. Crosby (16), R. Rakell (7)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:24
  3. EDM
    E. Bouchard(6)PPG
    C. McDavid (36), L. Draisaitl (29)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:36

3rd period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(9)
    L. Draisaitl (30), M. Ekholm (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-2
    6:47
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(12)
    A. Mantha (12), E. Karlsson (22)
    backhandxG 0.42win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:51
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(20)EN
    Z. Hyman (5)
    wristxG 0.43Video
    6-3
    18:41
  4. PIT
    D. Heinen(1)
    T. Novak (11), R. Shea (11)
    wristxG 0.13Video
    6-4
    19:46

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:14EDMMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 9:12PITDanton Heinen · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 10:20PITBryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 10:38PITBrett Kulak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:30EDMLeon Draisaitl · Roughingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 8:06PITJustin Brazeau · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 14:02EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 18:14EDMAlec Regula · Cross checkingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

3rd

  • 8:14EDMTy Emberson · High sticking double minordrawn by Ben Kindel4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalEDM goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Savoie, 2nd 4:35 — EDM 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.42B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.23A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.20T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.19B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.12T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05R. McGroarty · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsPIT
4.05 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.83 G
Power play
1 G1.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM56%44%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsPIT
23
Shots on goal
30
62%
Faceoffs
38%
3/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
8
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD112+120.27010—24:04
97C. McDavidC224061.360105622:31
25D. NurseD000-100.03152—21:59
18Z. HymanL112030.77100—20:51
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.2901010020:01
75A. RegulaD011-100.02252—18:17
14M. EkholmD011+210.06002—18:16
24S. StastneyD000-100.09000—18:16
29L. DraisaitlC044030.600028218:02
19A. HenriqueC000010.020105316:29
13M. JanmarkC011+100.00000015:56
22M. SavoieC101+210.100003315:44
49T. EmbersonD000000.00134—15:41
92V. PodkolzinR101030.25010—14:34
88A. MangiapaneL000-100.12100—10:32
10T. FredericC000000.0010010007:42
23Q. HutsonR000-110.01000—06:59
20C. LazarC000-100.001108303:17
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)30264.8673.29-0.7159:55

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).