San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Sharks scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 1:49 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.5 to 1.2; shots on goal were SJS 23, TBL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 16 of 19 (.842); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 23 (.957). Three stars: 1. Brandon Hagel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (22 saves, .957), 3. Dominic James (1 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Hagel2 G, 1 A

- ★★A. Vasilevskiy22 saves, .957

- ★★★D. James1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-014:37
1-115:10
2nd period
1-21:49
1-33:17
3rd period
1-417:41
Penalties
2nd
- 6:51
Ryan Reaves · Holdingdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min
- 12:57
served by G. Goncalves · Interference bench2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 2nd 1:49 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.21 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.5
- 1.01 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.16 – 2.53
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 29
- Hits
- 13
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 13
- Giveaways
- 18
- 7
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 2-0
7@
3Final
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















